Result
0:2
11/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 14
- Referee: Sosa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Monzon L. 🟨,
- 25', 0 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Solis N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
- 59', Susvielles J. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
- 60', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
- 64', Werro V. 🟨,
- 66', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
- 68', Aleo A. 🟥,
- 71', 0 - 2, Perez B. (Pen),
- 78', Rivero G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 84', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
- 90', Perez B. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
- 90', Crego D. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Alvarado
31.5% | Draw
33.6% | Deportivo Madryn
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.26) |
2.76 ↓
(2.9) |
2.68 ↓
(3.41) |
7.8%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarado: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.
- Alvarado is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvarado won against Deportivo Madryn?
Alvarado has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Madryn won against Alvarado?
Deportivo Madryn has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn were as follows:
Latest results of Alvarado
Latest results of Deportivo Madryn
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
| 4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
| 16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
| 17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
| 18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
| 4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
| 11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
| 15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
