Quilmes vs Alvarado – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
28/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
94
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
87
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
94
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Silva K. , Fernandez T. ,
  • 45+1', Gobetto J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Irazoque A. , Gorgerino C. ,
  • 56', Gobetto J. , Borgnino M. ,
  • 58', Kalinski E. , Kaprof J. ,
  • 58', Carabajal G. , Mino M. ,
  • 69', Martinez R. , Capano J. ,
  • 81', Belinetz O. 🟨,
  • 81', Belinetz O. , Postigo J. ,
  • 82', Kaprof J. , Coronel J. ,
  • 88', Bolivar A. , Ortiz D. ,
  • 88', Martinez E. , Aleo A. ,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
49.3%
Draw
31.9%
Alvarado
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.5% 29.8% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 28.9% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Alvarado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Quilmes - Alvarado Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.72)
    2.89
    (3.08)
    4.93
    (5.52)
    7.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Alvarado?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alvarado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Alvarado may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Quilmes is the team to beat.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Alvarado were as follows:
    02.03.2025 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    22.09.2024 Alvarado - Quilmes 0:0
    05.05.2024 Quilmes - Alvarado 1:1
    17.09.2022 Alvarado - Quilmes 3:0
    Latest results of Quilmes
    22.08.2025 Quilmes - San Miguel 2:0
    16.08.2025 Los Andes - Quilmes 1:0
    30.07.2025 Deportivo Madryn - Quilmes 3:1
    Latest results of Alvarado
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron1163218:11721
    2Colon Santa Fe1154212:8419
    3Los Andes114529:4517
    4Almirante Brown115248:8017
    5Deportivo Madryn1144315:11416
    6Godoy Cruz1137110:8216
    7Ciudad Bolivar113719:7216
    8Ferro1143411:10115
    9Def. de Belgrano1136210:9115
    10Racing Cordoba1143411:12-115
    11San Miguel113539:11-214
    12CA Estudiantes114257:9-214
    13San Telmo1134412:14-213
    14CA Mitre1126310:11-112
    15All Boys112545:8-311
    16Central Norte112454:8-410
    17Acassuso113178:13-510
    18Chaco For Ever111469:16-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy1172219:12723
    2Tristan Suarez1155112:6620
    3Atletico Atlanta1161414:9519
    4San Martin T1146112:8418
    5Nueva Chicago1145211:8317
    6Atl. Rafaela1144311:8316
    7Midland1144310:8216
    8Temperley113719:7216
    9San Martin S.J113449:11-213
    10Patronato113446:10-413
    11Quilmes1033411:8312
    12Deportivo Maipu1133512:14-212
    13Gimnasia y Tiro1033410:12-212
    14Colegiales113358:12-412
    15Chacarita Juniors103259:12-311
    16Agropecuario103259:13-411
    17Club A. Guemes1124511:16-510
    18Almagro112366:14-89

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