Result
1:1
16/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/460) | 84% (342/405) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (400/460) | 84% (342/405) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (19/44) | 48% (16/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (70/93) | 77% (110/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', Ousmanou P. 🟨,
- 33', Mesias A. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Garcia C. ⚽, Lucca Dourado (A),
- 45+2', Ciss O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Brown N. ↓, Viader D. ↑,
- 46', Lucca Dourado ↓, McLaughlin G. ↑,
- 57', Schipmann B. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Ndiaye B. ⚽, Ciss O. (A),
- 72', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 74', Ciss O. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 74', Ousmanou P. ↓, Ngah F. ↑,
- 76', Bartman N. 🟨,
- 81', Garcia C. ↓, Sousa F. ↑,
- 81', Bartman N. ↓, Galindrez J. ↑,
- 83', Jauregui R. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 83', Marou S. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
- 88', Bakero J. ↓, Moshobane T. ↑,
- 90+2', Mesias A. ↓, Temitayo E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Forward Madison
44.3% | Draw
26.4% | Charlotte Independence
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.43) |
3.43 ↑
(3.39) |
3.08 ↑
(2.52) |
10.7%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 3.
- Forward Madison has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Charlotte Ind has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Charlotte Ind may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Forward Madison won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Forward Madison won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Forward Madison won against Charlotte Independence?
Forward Madison has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Forward Madison?
Charlotte Independence has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forward Madison - Charlotte Independence were as follows:
11.04.2025
Charlotte Independence
-
Forward Madison
1:1
02.11.2024
Forward Madison
-
Charlotte Independence
2:0
04.10.2024
Charlotte Independence
-
Forward Madison
2:4
11.09.2024
Forward Madison
-
Charlotte Independence
2:1
14.08.2024
Forward Madison
-
Charlotte Independence
0:0
Latest results of Forward Madison
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | One Knoxville (1) | Charlotte Independ. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | FC Naples (4) | Union Omaha (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Spokane Velocity (3) | Tormenta (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga Red Wolves (2) | Portland Hearts of Pine (7) | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | One Knoxville (1) | FC Naples (4) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity (3) | Portland Hearts of Pine (7) | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | One Knoxville (1) | Spokane Velocity (3) | |
