Result
4:5
09/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 89% (445/502) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 2.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/390) | 89% (445/502) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (27/52) | 60% (38/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (87/120) | 75% (131/175) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.59 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 22', 0 - 1, Marsh C. ⚽, Robles R. (A),
- 28', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 1, Chaney C. (Pen),
- 30', 2 - 1, Bakero J. ⚽, Jauregui R. (A),
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Marsh C. ⚽, Bubb Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 49', Spielman N. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 3, Marsh C. (Pen),
- 53', Rankenburg G. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 3, Chaney C. (Pen),
- 59', 4 - 3, Jauregui R. ⚽, Ngah F. (A),
- 65', Marsh C. ↓, Soto E. ↑,
- 65', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Polak T. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 4, Corvino P. ⚽, Evans C. (A),
- 72', Bakero J. ↓, Pedro Fonseca ↑,
- 72', Moshobane T. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
- 74', Moreno J. 🟥,
- 74', Robles R. 🟨,
- 76', Mensah R. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
- 79', Jauregui R. ↓, Sorenson A. ↑,
- 84', Sims T. ↓, Benton D. ↑,
- 85', Corvino P. ↓, Zakowski B. ↑,
- 88', Zakowski B. 🟨,
- 88', Ciss O. ↓, Jaime C. ↑,
- 89', Chaney C. ↓, Ousmanou P. ↑,
- 90+6', 4 - 5, Zakowski B. ⚽, Polak T. (A),
Chances of winning
Charlotte Independence
35.3% | Draw
27% | Greenville Triumph
37.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Independence has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Independence than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.59) |
3.39 ↑
(3.36) |
2.43 ↑
(2.39) |
9.4%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Charlotte Ind (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte Ind (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Charlotte Ind may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Charlotte Ind won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte Ind won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte Independence won against Greenville Triumph?
Charlotte Independence has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Greenville Triumph won against Charlotte Independence?
Greenville Triumph has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Independence - Greenville Triumph were as follows:
15.06.2025
Charlotte Independence
-
Greenville Triumph
1:0
05.04.2025
Greenville Triumph
-
Charlotte Independence
1:0
30.08.2024
Greenville Triumph
-
Charlotte Independence
0:1
10.08.2024
Charlotte Independence
-
Greenville Triumph
2:1
19.06.2024
Greenville Triumph
-
Charlotte Independence
2:0
Latest results of Charlotte Independence
Latest results of Greenville Triumph
USL League One Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Naples | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Union Omaha | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | Westchester SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Greenville | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Forward Madison | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | New York Cosmos | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 10 | Boise | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Charlotte Independ | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fort Wayne | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Sarasota Paradise | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | AV Alta | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Corpus Christi FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
