Accrington Stanley vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Wham Stadium (Accrington).

League Two - Round 13
Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.36	0.67
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
5	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
67% (190/283)	68% (262/388)
Yellow Cards
0	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36	0.67
xG on target (xGOT)
2.24	0.63
Total shots
16	7
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
7	4
Blocked Shots
4	0
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
5	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
22	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
8	9
Passes
67% (190/283)	68% (262/388)
Long passes
33% (25/76)	46% (46/101)
Passes in final third
56% (69/123)	45% (41/91)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.12	0.40
Throw-ins
29	39
Fouls
9	8
Tackles
55% (6/11)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
51	84
Clearances
42	13
Interceptions
11	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.63	2.24
Goals prevented
0.63	-1.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Knight-Lebel J. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Henderson A. (A),
37', Clarke O. 🟥,
38', Ripley C. 🟨,
45+1', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Tafazolli R. ↓, Wilson-Brown T. ↑,
56', Brown C. ↓, O'Brien C. ↑,
61', Drinan A. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
61', Glatzel P. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
61', Nichols T. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
63', Rawson F. ↓, Sass F. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Heath I. (A),
73', Snowdon J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Heath I. ⚽, Madden P. (A),
84', Conneely S. ↓, Bauress J. ↑,
84', Henderson A. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Madden P. ⚽, Grant C. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Accrington Stanley
37%

Draw
30.5%

Swindon Town
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.1%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.5%

43%

Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	3.9 ↑ (3.48)	4.05 ↑ (2.24)	-16.7% (6.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 35.9% – 97.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2.
Accrington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Swindon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Accrington: Love D. (Yellow Cards) Whalley S. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Accrington: Rawson F. (Injury) Walton T. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Accrington Stanley won against Swindon Town?

Accrington Stanley has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Accrington Stanley?

Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town were as follows:

22.03.2025 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 0:0

30.11.2024 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 3:2

16.11.2024 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 2:2

12.03.2024 Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley 1:2

28.11.2023 Accrington Stanley - Swindon Town 3:4

Latest results of Accrington Stanley

11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Port Vale 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Barnet - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Accrington Stanley - Walsall 1:3 ✺

20.09.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Accrington Stanley 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

04.10.2025 Newport County - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Swindon Town - Bromley 2:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Salford City - Swindon Town 3:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Swindon Town - Harrogate Town 3:1 ✺

06.09.2025 Barrow - Swindon Town 1:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	29	17	8	4	52:31	21	59
2	Notts Co	29	16	6	7	44:29	15	54
3	Cambridge Utd	28	15	8	5	38:22	16	53
4	Swindon	29	16	4	9	47:34	13	52
5	Salford	29	16	4	9	41:35	6	52
6	MK Dons	29	14	9	6	56:31	25	51
7	Walsall	29	14	7	8	37:28	9	49
8	Chesterfield	29	11	12	6	46:39	7	45
9	Grimsby	28	12	8	8	41:32	9	44
10	Crewe	30	12	8	10	46:38	8	44
11	Barnet	29	11	10	8	37:30	7	43
12	Accrington	29	12	7	10	35:30	5	43
13	Colchester	28	11	9	8	41:31	10	42
14	Gillingham	28	9	11	8	38:35	3	38
15	Fleetwood	28	10	7	11	37:37	0	37
16	Oldham	27	8	11	8	28:26	2	35
17	Tranmere	29	8	8	13	42:49	-7	32
18	Cheltenham	28	9	3	16	27:48	-21	30
19	Bristol Rovers	29	8	3	18	26:47	-21	27
20	Crawley	29	6	8	15	32:47	-15	26
21	Barrow	27	6	6	15	28:42	-14	24
22	Shrewsbury	28	5	8	15	23:47	-24	23
23	Newport	28	5	5	18	29:54	-25	20
24	Harrogate	30	4	6	20	20:49	-29	18

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League