Result
0:1
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 25
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.65 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (290/405) | 77% (337/436) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (290/405) | 77% (337/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (26/77) | 38% (31/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (77/122) | 64% (98/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (3/19) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.66 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Clarke O. 🟨,
- 39', Morris B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Marsh A. ↓, Taylor E. ↑,
- 46', Wright W. ↓, Ball J. ↑,
- 57', Mabete F. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
- 57', Palmer O. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
- 57', Oldaker D. ↓, Scanlon J. ↑,
- 70', Ball J. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
- 81', Sutton E. ↓, Muldoon J. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 1, Drinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Harrogate Town
20% | Draw
24.2% | Swindon Town
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Harrogate Town - Swindon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.67 ↑
(3.73) |
3.88 ↑
(3.34) |
1.69 ↓
(1.91) |
6.6%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town - Swindon Town?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Harrogate will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Swindon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 1.
- Harrogate has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Swindon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Swindon is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Harrogate: Duke-McKenna S.
(Injury)
Faulkner B.
(Inactive)
Gibson L.
(Injury)
Hill T.
(Injury)
Taylor E.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Clarke O.
(Suspended)
Glatzel P.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Harrogate: Bradbury T.
(Injury)
Sutton L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Bodin B.
(Inactive)
Delaney R.
(Inactive)
Snowdon J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Harrogate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Harrogate Town won against Swindon Town?
Harrogate Town has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Harrogate Town?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Harrogate Town - Swindon Town were as follows:
13.09.2025
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
3:1
15.02.2025
Harrogate Town
-
Swindon Town
1:0
05.10.2024
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
0:0
02.03.2024
Swindon Town
-
Harrogate Town
1:1
18.11.2023
Harrogate Town
-
Swindon Town
1:1
Latest results of Harrogate Town
Latest results of Swindon Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
