Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Hanshin Tigers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 1

Match Stats

Hits
85
Errors
00
Home runs
10
Runs batted in
21
Base on balls
10
Strikeouts
79
Stolen bases
11
At bat
2829
Batting average
0.2860.172

Chances of winning


Hiroshima Toyo Carp
42.5%
Hanshin Tigers
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Hanshin Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanshin Tigers than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.23)

    1.66
    (1.67)
    4.7%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
    • Hiroshima has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hanshin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hanshin could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 36:86. (average 1.8:4.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:65. (average 2:4.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers were as follows:
    04.04.2026 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers 5:7
    03.04.2026 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers 2:4
    15.03.2026 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers 1:0
    14.03.2026 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers 1:7
    18.09.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Hanshin Tigers 2:7
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yakult Swallows19140570:560.737
    2Hanshin Tigers20140685:550.700
    3Yomiuri Giants19100962:610.526
    4Yokohama BayStars18801060:610.444
    5Hiroshima Carp17601146:640.353
    6Chunichi Dragons19401559:850.211


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks20120893:700.600
    2Orix Buffaloes20120881:810.600
    3Rakuten Gold. Eagles20111872:580.579
    4Nippon Ham Fighters20901198:930.450
    5Seibu Lions21811264:810.400
    6Chiba Lotte Marines21801363:880.381

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)