Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hiroshima Toyo Carp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
54
Errors
00
Home runs
00
Runs batted in
21
Base on balls
31
Strikeouts
69
Stolen bases
30
At bat
3130
Batting average
0.1610.133

Chances of winning


Tokyo Yakult Swallows
47.2%
Hiroshima Toyo Carp
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Yakult Swallows than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.05)

    1.81
    (1.78)
    4.8%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp?
  • Users Predictions: Tokyo Yakult Swallows will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 5.
    • Tokyo is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hiroshima is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Tokyo has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Hiroshima has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 81:60. (average 4.1:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 44:30. (average 4.9:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp were as follows:
    01.04.2026 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp Postponed
    31.03.2026 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 8:3
    22.02.2026 Tokyo Yakult Swallows - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 4:1
    04.10.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 1:3
    03.10.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Tokyo Yakult Swallows 1:6
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yakult Swallows19140570:560.737
    2Hanshin Tigers20140685:550.700
    3Yomiuri Giants19100962:610.526
    4Yokohama BayStars18801060:610.444
    5Hiroshima Carp17601146:640.353
    6Chunichi Dragons19401559:850.211


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks20120893:700.600
    2Orix Buffaloes20120881:810.600
    3Rakuten Gold. Eagles20111872:580.579
    4Nippon Ham Fighters20901198:930.450
    5Seibu Lions21811264:810.400
    6Chiba Lotte Marines21801363:880.381

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)