Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes
Result
10:4
11/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
168
Errors
00
Home Runs
01
Runs batted in
94
Base on Balls
53
Strikeouts
45
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3734
Batting Average
0.4320.235

Chances of winning


Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
68.4%
Orix Buffaloes
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.8% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Orix Buffaloes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orix Buffaloes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.39)

    3.02
    (3.1)
    4.7%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 1.
    • Hokkaido has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Orix is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hokkaido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Hokkaido is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 81:61. (average 4.1:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hokkaido won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:38. (average 4.7:4.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes were as follows:
    07.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:2
    06.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:1
    05.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 2:0
    21.08.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 0:10
    20.08.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 6:5
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers12979347440:3050.627
    2Yomiuri Giants12963363405:3960.500
    3Yokohama BayStars12860563425:4060.488
    4Chunichi Dragons12857269368:4070.452
    5Hiroshima Carp12855568394:4260.447
    6Yakult Swallows12447671365:4940.398


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks12675447479:3520.615
    2Nippon Ham Fighters12774350485:3490.597
    3Orix Buffaloes12564358441:4630.525
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles12358263387:4450.479
    5Seibu Lions12356364335:3730.467
    6Chiba Lotte Marines12448373383:4910.397

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)