Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
8:2
05/04/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB

Match Stats

Hits
124
Errors
20
Home runs
21
Runs batted in
82
Base on balls
43
Strikeouts
74
Stolen bases
20
At bat
3632
Batting average
0.3330.125

Chances of winning


Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
60.2%
Orix Buffaloes
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.6% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Orix Buffaloes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.63)

    2.41
    (2.3)
    4.9%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 7.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 5.
    • Hokkaido is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orix's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Orix has had a series of away games.
    • Hokkaido will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 98:65. (average 4.9:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hokkaido won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 77:52. (average 5.5:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes were as follows:
    04.04.2026 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 6:3
    03.04.2026 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 12:3
    12.10.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 5:4
    11.10.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 2:0
    11.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 10:4
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yakult Swallows19140570:560.737
    2Hanshin Tigers20140685:550.700
    3Yomiuri Giants19100962:610.526
    4Yokohama BayStars18801060:610.444
    5Hiroshima Carp17601146:640.353
    6Chunichi Dragons19401559:850.211


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks20120893:700.600
    2Orix Buffaloes20120881:810.600
    3Rakuten Gold. Eagles20111872:580.579
    4Nippon Ham Fighters20901198:930.450
    5Seibu Lions21811264:810.400
    6Chiba Lotte Marines21801363:880.381

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