Result
0:1
23/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (187/254) | 76% (268/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 2.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (187/254) | 76% (268/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (26/50) | 52% (29/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (50/91) | 66% (83/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 94% (17/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Hanrattana P. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Hwang Hyun-Soo ⚽, Worasut N. (A),
- 41', Bunsan K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jeenthai P. ↓, Mamadou B. ↑,
- 46', Brandao ↓, Dennis Murillo ↑,
- 46', Bunsan K. ↓, Kamkla B. ↑,
- 59', Doloh A. 🟨,
- 63', Wendel ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
- 66', Laptrakul C. ↓, Pombuppha C. ↑,
- 67', Hanrattana P. ↓, Paso S. ↑,
- 69', Makemusik W. ↓, Naengwongsa N. ↑,
- 79', Naengwongsa N. 🟨,
- 80', Phimpsang C. ↓, Darbellay D. ↑,
- 81', Conrado ↓, Diego Carioca ↑,
- 81', Worasut N. ↓, Yaidee K. ↑,
- 90+7', Jaiphet A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Mamadou B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nakhon Ratchasima
37.8% | Draw
27.3% | Ayutthaya United
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.32) |
3.39 ↑
(3.21) |
2.65 ↓
(2.85) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ayutthaya United (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ayutthaya United (1.80) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Ayutthaya United will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2 and 11).
- Nakhon Ratchasima has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Ayutthaya United's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ayutthaya United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Nakhon Ratchasima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Nakhon Ratchasima won against Ayutthaya United?
Nakhon Ratchasima has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Nakhon Ratchasima?
Ayutthaya United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nakhon Ratchasima - Ayutthaya United were as follows:
17.03.2024
Nakhon Ratchasima
-
Ayutthaya United
1:0
26.11.2023
Ayutthaya United
-
Nakhon Ratchasima
2:2
Latest results of Nakhon Ratchasima
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 37:15 | 22 | 37 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24:11 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Port MTI FC | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25:9 | 16 | 27 |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 25 |
| 6 | Rayong FC | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 22:20 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Chiangrai Utd | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Sukhothai | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 18 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Prachuap | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 17 |
| 12 | Chonburi | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15:29 | -14 | 13 |
| 14 | Lamphun Warrior | 15 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 21:34 | -13 | 11 |
| 15 | Kanchanaburi | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8:28 | -20 | 7 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
