Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (398/458) | 75% (214/285) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (398/458) | 75% (214/285) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (21/41) | 46% (26/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (85/117) | 72% (61/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.73 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Mutombo G. (Own goal),
- 38', Tamma C. 🟨,
- 45+1', Changthong A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Wellington Priori 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
- 46', Tamma C. ↓, Biaothungoi P. ↑,
- 46', Jakkuprasat S. ↓, Srisuwan K. ↑,
- 49', Worasut N. 🟨,
- 53', Promsomboon N. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 2, Laptrakul C. ⚽,
- 60', Mutombo G. 🟥,
- 65', Worasut N. ↓, Aon-pean V. ↑,
- 65', Changthong A. ↓, Leddel N. ↑,
- 65', Promsomboon N. ↓, Namwech W. ↑,
- 65', Peenagatapho S. ↓, Deeromram K. ↑,
- 65', Rakotoharimalala N. ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
- 77', Tana ↓, Wonggorn J. ↑,
- 82', Laptrakul C. ↓, Dechmitr S. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Deni Junior ⚽, Gleyson (A),
- 90+2', Namwech W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ratchaburi
57.5% | Draw
22.8% | Ayutthaya United
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ratchaburi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Ayutthaya United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayutthaya United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Ratchaburi - Ayutthaya United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
4 ↓
(4.19) |
4.63 ↓
(4.77) |
9.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 9).
- Ratchaburi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ayutthaya United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ayutthaya United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ratchaburi is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Ayutthaya United?
Ratchaburi has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayutthaya United won against Ratchaburi?
Ayutthaya United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Ayutthaya United were as follows:
25.02.2026
Ayutthaya United
-
Ratchaburi
1:0
09.11.2025
Ayutthaya United
-
Ratchaburi
1:3
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Latest results of Ayutthaya United
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 75:30 | 45 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 55:22 | 33 | 57 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:29 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Muang Thong Utd | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 26 |
| 14 | Sukhothai | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 20:42 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:42 | -23 | 24 |
| 16 | Kanchanaburi | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 29:53 | -24 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
