Middlesbrough vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
0:1
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.01
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
86% (480/557)84% (417/496)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.01
xG on target (xGOT)
0.301.28
Total shots
175
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
92
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2423
Through passes
0% (0/1)0% (0/2)
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
86% (480/557)84% (417/496)
Long passes
46% (19/41)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
73% (122/168)63% (61/97)
Crosses
13% (2/15)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.920.88
Fouls
1111
Tackles
43% (6/14)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4239
Clearances Total
1529
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.280.30
Goals prevented
0.280.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, James D. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 66', Iheanacho K. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
  • 68', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
  • 68', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
  • 73', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
  • 73', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
  • 74', Morris A. 🟨,
  • 75', Byram S. 🟨,
  • 80', Burgzorg D. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Morris A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
22%		Draw
24.2%		Leeds United
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.4% 24.1% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19% 25.9% 59.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Middlesbrough - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.34 ↓
    (4.63)    		 3.92 ↓
    (3.93)    		 1.77 ↑
    (1.7)    		 5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 48% – 76.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Leeds (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Middlesbrough (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 11 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1.
    • Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Leeds is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Fry D. (Calf Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Neto Borges (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P. (Injury)
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leeds United were as follows:
    10.12.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:1
    14.08.2024 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 0:3
    22.04.2024 Middlesbrough - Leeds United 3:4
    02.12.2023 Leeds United - Middlesbrough 3:2
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    04.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Middlesbrough 0:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Luton Town - Middlesbrough 0:0 ✺
    11.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Leeds United
    05.04.2025 Luton Town - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Leeds United - Swansea City 2:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Leeds United 2:2 ✺
    12.03.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 2:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Portsmouth - Leeds United 1:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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