Result
0:1
08/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 41
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | mio Sports 1 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra |
 Usa | CBS, Paramount+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (480/557) | 84% (417/496) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 0% (0/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (480/557) | 84% (417/496) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (122/168) | 63% (61/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 39 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, James D. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Iheanacho K. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
- 68', Solomon M. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
- 68', Firpo J. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
- 73', Piroe J. ↓, Bamford P. ↑,
- 73', James D. ↓, Schmidt I. ↑,
- 74', Morris A. 🟨,
- 75', Byram S. 🟨,
- 80', Burgzorg D. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 90+1', Aaronson B. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
- 90+1', Morris A. ↓, Fry D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
22% | Draw
24.2% | Leeds United
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middlesbrough - Leeds United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↓
(4.63) |
3.92 ↓
(3.93) |
1.77 ↑
(1.7) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Leeds United?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%). Leeds will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 48% – 76.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Leeds (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 1.
- Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Leeds is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Leeds is a favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Ankle Injury)
Fry D.
(Calf Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Neto Borges
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leeds: Struijk P.
(Injury)
- Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Leeds United?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leeds United won against Middlesbrough?
Leeds United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Leeds United were as follows:
10.12.2024
Leeds United
-
Middlesbrough
3:1
14.08.2024
Leeds United
-
Middlesbrough
0:3
22.04.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Leeds United
3:4
02.12.2023
Leeds United
-
Middlesbrough
3:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Leeds United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Stoke | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Bristol City | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 11 |
| 4 | Leicester | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | West Brom | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Coventry | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 9 |
| 7 | Swansea | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Preston | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Norwich | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 | QPR | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 15 | Blackburn | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 16 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 17 | Watford | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 18 | Charlton | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Derby | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Hull | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 21 | Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 2 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 1 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:12 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
