Swansea City vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
06/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 41
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 5
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 5
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 5
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 5, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.173.13
Ball possession
35%65%
Total shots
1229
Shots on target
36
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
210
Passes
76% (225/295)86% (486/562)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
2.173.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.86
Total shots
1229
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
57
Blocked shots
416
Shots inside the box
1019
Shots outside the box
210
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
25
Corner kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
2449
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1114
Passes
76% (225/295)86% (486/562)
Long passes
35% (18/52)40% (16/40)
Passes in final third
77% (69/90)79% (166/211)
Crosses
29% (5/17)12% (4/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.661.19
Throw ins
1222
Fouls
1411
Tackles
76% (13/17)56% (10/18)
Duels won
4867
Clearances
5518
Interceptions
124
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.861.89
Goals prevented
-0.14-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Bangura A. , Conway T. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Vipotnik Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 34', Bangura A. , Munroe F. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 1, Vipotnik Z. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+5', McGree R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Franco G. 🟨,
  • 56', Franco G. , Stamenic M. ,
  • 56', Widell M. , Ronald ,
  • 56', Vipotnik Z. , Idah A. ,
  • 62', Browne A. 🟨,
  • 65', Eom J. 🟨,
  • 66', Sarmiento J. , Fry D. ,
  • 66', McGree R. , Sene M. K. ,
  • 66', Strelec D. , Hansen S. ,
  • 72', Parker S. , Ward J. ,
  • 75', 2 - 2, Conway T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 81', Fulton J. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 81', Munroe F. , Gilbert A. ,
  • 90', Conway T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Yalcouye M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Swansea City
25.7%
Draw
25.9%
Middlesbrough
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 26.2% 46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6% 25.5% 47.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Swansea City - Middlesbrough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.66
    (3.45)
    3.63
    (3.6)
    1.96
    (2.03)
    5.8%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Swansea City - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 19 - 70.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 53.2%87.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Middlesbrough will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Middlesbrough - Swansea City 1:0
    08.03.2025 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:0
    10.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Swansea City 1:0
    06.04.2024 Middlesbrough - Swansea City 2:0
    16.12.2023 Swansea City - Middlesbrough 1:2
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One