Result
1:0
04/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa del Rey - Semi-finals
- Referee: Soto Grado C. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Startimes Am'mobi |
 Albania | SuperSport 5 |
 Argentina | Dibox, Flow Eventos, Flow Sports |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Belarus | Sport TV |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
 Colombia | Win play |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Finland | Disney+, Veikkaus TV |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | Action 24 |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport |
 North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
 Norway | Disney+ |
 Paraguay | Flow Eventos |
 Peru | America TV GO, America TV, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Spain | ETB, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1, RTVE Play, TVE La 1 |
 Suriname | SCCN |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | ITV 4, ITV X |
 Uruguay | Flow |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Inter, Meridiano, Venevision Play, Venevision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (296/379) | 79% (309/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (296/379) | 79% (309/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/107) | 62% (59/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Paredes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Jauregizar M. 🟨,
- 56', Rego A. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
- 59', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 59', Turrientes B. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
- 67', Paredes A. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
- 67', Sancet O. ↓, Navarro R. ↑,
- 70', Guruzeta G. 🟨,
- 81', Areso J. 🟨,
- 82', Guruzeta G. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
- 82', Jauregizar M. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
- 83', Soler C. ↓, Oskarsson O. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 0, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+2', Laporte A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Guedes G. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
- 90+3', Oyarzabal M. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
- 90+6', Herrera Y. 🟨,
- 90+9', Munoz A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Real Sociedad
40.1% | Draw
28.5% | Athletic Bilbao
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.13) |
3.33 ↑
(3.31) |
3.03 ↓
(3.46) |
5.2%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao?
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 31 - 72.1%). Athletic will win (votes: 3 - 7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 58.7% – 85.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Real Sociedad (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Sociedad will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Athletic (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 2.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Real Sociedad could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Real Sociedad: Kubo T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Odriozola A.
(Knee Injury)
Ruperez I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y.
(Doping)
Egiluz U.
(Knee Injury)
Prados Diaz B.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz de Galarreta I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sannadi M.
(Knee Injury)
Williams N.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Athletic Bilbao?
Real Sociedad has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Real Sociedad?
Athletic Bilbao has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
11.02.2026
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Sociedad
0:1
01.02.2026
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Sociedad
1:1
01.11.2025
Real Sociedad
-
Athletic Bilbao
3:2
04.05.2025
Real Sociedad
-
Athletic Bilbao
0:0
24.11.2024
Athletic Bilbao
-
Real Sociedad
1:0
Latest results of Real Sociedad
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
Draw
2025/261/128-finals| 1 | Mutilvera | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Zaragoza | |
| 3 | Atl. Tordesillas | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Burgos CF | |
| 5 | Navalcarnero | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | AD Merida | |
| 7 | Inter de Valdemoro | Univ. Julio Suarez | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Getafe | |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Mirandes | |
| 11 | Caudal Deportivo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Gijon | |
| 13 | Puente Genil | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | FC Cartagena SAD | |
| 15 | Sporting Ceuta | Maracena | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Valencia | |
| 17 | Tropezon | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Cultural Leonesa | |
| 19 | Valle Egues | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Andorra | |
| 21 | Ciudad Cieza | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Cordoba | |
| 23 | Orihuela | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Levante | |
| 25 | Ourense CF | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Oviedo | |
| 27 | Constancia | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Girona | |
| 32 | Bye | Ath Bilbao | |
| 33 | Portugalete | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Valladolid | |
| 35 | Deportivo Getxo | Betis Valladolid | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 36 | Bye | Alaves | |
| 37 | CD Extremadura | Bye | |
| 38 | Bye | Las Palmas | |
| 39 | Toledo | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Sevilla | |
| 41 | RSD Alcala | Bye | |
| 42 | Bye | Tenerife | |
| 43 | Roda | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Granada CF | |
| 45 | Real Avila | Bye | |
| 46 | Bye | Real Aviles | |
| 47 | Campanario | CD Yuncos | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 48 | Bye | Rayo Vallecano | |
| 49 | Jaen | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Eldense | |
| 51 | Lorca Deportiva | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Almeria | |
| 53 | Reus FCR | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | CE Europa | |
| 55 | Textil Escudo | SD Negreira | 0 : 4, 2 : 1 |
| 56 | Bye | Real Sociedad | |
| 57 | Langreo | Bye | |
| 58 | Bye | Racing Club Ferrol | |
| 59 | Utebo FC | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Huesca | |
| 61 | Ebro | Bye | |
| 62 | Bye | Tarazona | |
| 63 | CD Sant Jordi | Lourdes | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 64 | Bye | Osasuna | |
| 65 | Azuaga | Bye | |
| 66 | Bye | Leganes | |
| 67 | San Fernando | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Albacete | |
| 69 | Sant Andreu | Bye | |
| 70 | Bye | Teruel | |
| 71 | Puerto de Vega | CCD Alberite | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 72 | Bye | Celta Vigo | |
| 73 | Rayo Majadahonda | Bye | |
| 74 | Bye | CF Talavera | |
| 75 | CD Estepona | Bye | |
| 76 | Bye | Malaga | |
| 80 | Bye | Real Madrid | |
| 81 | UD Logrones | Bye | |
| 82 | Bye | Ponferradina | |
| 83 | SD Logrones | Bye | |
| 84 | Bye | Racing Santander | |
| 85 | Antoniano | Bye | |
| 86 | Bye | Castellon | |
| 87 | Ciudad de Lucena | Bye | |
| 88 | Bye | Villarreal | |
| 89 | Guadalajara | Bye | |
| 90 | Bye | Cacereno | |
| 91 | La Union | Bye | |
| 92 | Bye | Ceuta | |
| 96 | Bye | Barcelona | |
| 97 | Murcia | Bye | |
| 98 | Bye | Antequera | |
| 99 | UCAM Murcia | Bye | |
| 100 | Bye | Cadiz CF | |
| 101 | Torrent | Bye | |
| 102 | Bye | Torremolinos | |
| 103 | Atletico Melilla | Palma del Rio | 0 : 5, 0 : 5 |
| 104 | Bye | Betis | |
| 105 | UD Ourense | Bye | |
| 106 | Bye | Pontevedra | |
| 107 | Naxara | Bye | |
| 108 | Bye | Eibar | |
| 109 | Quintanar del Rey | Bye | |
| 110 | Bye | UD Ibiza | |
| 111 | Manises | UD Los Garres | 0 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 112 | Bye | Elche | |
| 113 | Poblense | Bye | |
| 114 | Bye | Sabadell | |
| 115 | UD Samano | Bye | |
| 116 | Bye | Dep. La Coruna | |
| 117 | Numancia | Bye | |
| 118 | Bye | Arenas Getxo | |
| 119 | Sant Just | Atletico Calatayud | 4 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 120 | Bye | Mallorca | |
| 121 | Baleares | Bye | |
| 122 | Bye | Gimnastic | |
| 123 | Atletic Lleida | Bye | |
| 124 | Bye | Espanyol | |
| 128 | Bye | Atl. Madrid | |
1/64-finals| 1 | Mutilvera | Zaragoza | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Atl. Tordesillas | Burgos CF | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Navalcarnero | AD Merida | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Inter de Valdemoro | Getafe | 0 : 11 |
| 5 | Atl. Astorga | Mirandes | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Caudal Deportivo | Gijon | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Puente Genil | FC Cartagena SAD | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Maracena | Valencia | 0 : 5 |
| 9 | Tropezon | Cultural Leonesa | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Valle Egues | Andorra | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Ciudad Cieza | Cordoba | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Orihuela | Levante | 3 : 4 |
| 13 | Ourense CF | Oviedo | 4 : 2 |
| 14 | Constancia | Girona | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Ath Bilbao | |
| 17 | Portugalete | Valladolid | 1 : 0 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | Alaves | 0 : 7 |
| 19 | CD Extremadura | Las Palmas | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Toledo | Sevilla | 1 : 4 |
| 21 | RSD Alcala | Tenerife | 0 : 4 |
| 22 | Roda | Granada CF | 1 : 5 |
| 23 | Real Avila | Real Aviles | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | CD Yuncos | Rayo Vallecano | 1 : 6 |
| 25 | Jaen | Eldense | 1 : 3 |
| 26 | Lorca Deportiva | Almeria | 0 : 2 |
| 27 | Reus FCR | CE Europa | 3 : 2 |
| 28 | SD Negreira | Real Sociedad | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Langreo | Racing Club Ferrol | 0 : 1 |
| 30 | Utebo FC | Huesca | 0 : 3 |
| 31 | Ebro | Tarazona | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | CD Sant Jordi | Osasuna | 0 : 5 |
| 33 | Azuaga | Leganes | 1 : 4 |
| 34 | San Fernando | Albacete | 0 : 3 |
| 35 | Sant Andreu | Teruel | 2 : 1 |
| 36 | Puerto de Vega | Celta Vigo | 0 : 2 |
| 37 | Rayo Majadahonda | CF Talavera | 1 : 4 |
| 38 | CD Estepona | Malaga | 1 : 3 |
| 40 | Bye | Real Madrid | |
| 41 | UD Logrones | Ponferradina | 1 : 3 |
| 42 | SD Logrones | Racing Santander | 0 : 4 |
| 43 | Antoniano | Castellon | 1 : 0 |
| 44 | Ciudad de Lucena | Villarreal | 0 : 6 |
| 45 | Guadalajara | Cacereno | 2 : 1 |
| 46 | La Union | Ceuta | 0 : 2 |
| 48 | Bye | Barcelona | |
| 49 | Murcia | Antequera | 2 : 1 |
| 50 | UCAM Murcia | Cadiz CF | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | Torrent | Torremolinos | 3 : 1 |
| 52 | Palma del Rio | Betis | 1 : 7 |
| 53 | UD Ourense | Pontevedra | 1 : 2 |
| 54 | Naxara | Eibar | 2 : 4 |
| 55 | Quintanar del Rey | UD Ibiza | 2 : 1 |
| 56 | UD Los Garres | Elche | 0 : 4 |
| 57 | Poblense | Sabadell | 1 : 2 |
| 58 | UD Samano | Dep. La Coruna | 1 : 5 |
| 59 | Numancia | Arenas Getxo | 3 : 0 |
| 60 | Sant Just | Mallorca | 0 : 2 |
| 61 | Baleares | Gimnastic | 2 : 0 |
| 62 | Atletic Lleida | Espanyol | 1 : 2 |
| 64 | Bye | Atl. Madrid | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zaragoza | Burgos CF | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Navalcarnero | Getafe | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Mirandes | Gijon | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | FC Cartagena SAD | Valencia | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Cultural Leonesa | Andorra | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Ciudad Cieza | Levante | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Ourense CF | Girona | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Bye | Ath Bilbao | |
| 9 | Portugalete | Alaves | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | CD Extremadura | Sevilla | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Tenerife | Granada CF | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Real Avila | Rayo Vallecano | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Eldense | Almeria | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Reus FCR | Real Sociedad | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Racing Club Ferrol | Huesca | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Ebro | Osasuna | 3 : 5 |
| 17 | Leganes | Albacete | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Sant Andreu | Celta Vigo | 1 : 2 |
| 19 | CF Talavera | Malaga | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Real Madrid | |
| 21 | Ponferradina | Racing Santander | 1 : 2 |
| 22 | Antoniano | Villarreal | 1 : 2 |
| 23 | Guadalajara | Ceuta | 1 : 0 |
| 24 | Bye | Barcelona | |
| 25 | Murcia | Cadiz CF | 3 : 2 |
| 26 | Torrent | Betis | 1 : 4 |
| 27 | Pontevedra | Eibar | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Quintanar del Rey | Elche | 1 : 2 |
| 29 | Sabadell | Dep. La Coruna | 0 : 2 |
| 30 | Numancia | Mallorca | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Baleares | Espanyol | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Atl. Madrid | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Burgos CF | Getafe | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Gijon | Valencia | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cultural Leonesa | Levante | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Ourense CF | Ath Bilbao | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Alaves | Sevilla | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Granada CF | Rayo Vallecano | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Eldense | Real Sociedad | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Huesca | Osasuna | 2 : 4 |
| 9 | Albacete | Celta Vigo | 3 : 2 |
| 10 | CF Talavera | Real Madrid | 2 : 3 |
| 11 | Racing Santander | Villarreal | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | Barcelona | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Murcia | Betis | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Eibar | Elche | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Dep. La Coruna | Mallorca | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Baleares | Atl. Madrid | 2 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Burgos CF | Valencia | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Cultural Leonesa | Ath Bilbao | 3 : 4 |
| 3 | Alaves | Rayo Vallecano | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | Osasuna | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | Albacete | Real Madrid | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Racing Santander | Barcelona | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Betis | Elche | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | Atl. Madrid | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Albacete | Barcelona | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Betis | Atl. Madrid | 0 : 5 |
| 3 | Valencia | Ath Bilbao | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Alaves | Real Sociedad | 2 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Barcelona | Atl. Madrid | 3 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Ath Bilbao | Real Sociedad | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Atl. Madrid | Real Sociedad | |
