Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Zoilo A. ⚽,
- 31', Samperio J. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
- 37', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Alvarez J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Garai G. ⚽,
- 65', Ochoa M. ↓, Perero G. ↑,
- 72', Etxaniz J. ↓, Martinez Ortiz L. ↑,
- 72', Alvarez J. ↓, Etxeberria M. ↑,
- 72', Bustillo M. ↓, Relu ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 78', Martinez G. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Cabo J. ⚽,
- 81', Reniero N. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 90', Hernandez R. ↓, Vaquero ↑,
- 90', Martinez R. ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
- 90+3', Garcia S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lugo
46.9% | Draw
31.4% | Sestao
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lugo's performance.Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lugo - Sestao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.26) |
2.93 ↑
(2.89) |
4.21 ↑
(3.18) |
8.9%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Lugo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Lugo is a favorite.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Sestao?
Lugo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sestao won against Lugo?
Sestao has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Sestao were as follows:
02.10.2024
Lugo
-
Sestao
0:1
08.09.2024
Sestao
-
Lugo
0:1
24.03.2024
Lugo
-
Sestao
4:3
02.12.2023
Sestao
-
Lugo
0:1
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 12 | 15 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Guadalajara | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Racing Club Ferrol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Arenteiro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Osasuna B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Arenas Getxo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Pontevedra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Zamora | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Cacereno | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Lugo | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Ponferradina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 17 | Unionistas | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Merida AD | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Ourense CF | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
