Result
4:2
11/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', Alba T. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
- 14', Perez A. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
- 18', Perera A. 🟨,
- 30', Unzueta I. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Castillo N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 35', 2 - 0, Ochoa M. ⚽,
- 45+1', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
- 45+3', 3 - 0, Sergio Benito ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Perera A. 🟨,
- 56', 4 - 0, Sergio Benito ⚽,
- 58', Carmona F. 🟨,
- 58', Reniero N. ↓, Celorio N. ↑,
- 58', Gallar A. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 62', Hernandez R. ↓, Guerrero A. ↑,
- 62', Aranzabe A. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 65', 4 - 1, Unzueta I. ⚽,
- 70', Castillo N. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
- 70', Ochoa M. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 75', Garriz I. 🟨,
- 76', Rodriguez Y. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 77', Munoz D. 🟨,
- 80', Sergio Benito ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
- 83', Pastrana V. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
- 83', Lopez I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Haro P. 🟨,
- 90+8', 4 - 2, Unzueta I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF
42% | Draw
30.3% | Lugo
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Ourense CF - Lugo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.45) |
3.07 ↑
(3) |
3.32 ↑
(2.99) |
7.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- Ourense CF is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lugo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ourense CF might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Lugo?
Ourense CF has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Ourense CF?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Lugo were as follows:
21.12.2025
Lugo
-
Ourense CF
2:1
29.03.2025
Lugo
-
Ourense CF
0:2
11.01.2025
Ourense CF
-
Lugo
2:1
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56:43 | 13 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 46:38 | 8 | 55 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 54:43 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 53 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 38:29 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:44 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | AD Merida | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 48 |
| 10 | Arenas Getxo | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 47 |
| 11 | Lugo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 46 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 45 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 49:56 | -7 | 42 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:40 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 36 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 35 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 24:39 | -15 | 33 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 29:46 | -17 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
