Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules AFL Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons
Result
77:76
09/05/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: AFL - Round 9
Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1211
Behinds
510
Kicks
220213
Handballs
134149
Disposals
354362
Frees For
1817
Frees Against
1718
Clearances Completed
4140
Marks
7880
Tackles
6586
Hitouts
3149

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (30 - 0)
  • 05:44, Walsh S. (G),
  • 09:20, Pittonet M. (G),
  • 11:22, Martin J. (G),
  • 20:17, McKay H. (G),
  • 26:47, De Koning T. (G),
  • 2nd Quarter (20 - 19)
  • 08:16, Owies M. (G),
  • 10:02, Petracca C. (G),
  • 12:27, Petracca C. (Behind),
  • 14:06, Petracca C. (G),
  • 18:56, (Behind Rushed),
  • 20:28, Curnow C. (Behind),
  • 22:39, Cripps P. (G),
  • 24:21, Owies M. (G),
  • 27:28, Turner D. (G),
  • 3rd Quarter (20 - 29)
  • 00:24, Curnow C. (G),
  • 02:01, Pickett K. (G),
  • 03:58, Owies M. (G),
  • 07:38, (Behind Rushed),
  • 09:53, Fritsch B. (Behind),
  • 11:41, (Behind Rushed),
  • 13:19, Walsh S. (Behind),
  • 15:28, Petracca C. (G),
  • 16:43, Curnow C. (G),
  • 20:54, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 22:15, Chandler K. (Behind),
  • 27:55, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 29:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 31:32, Petracca C. (G),
  • 4th Quarter (7 - 28)
  • 00:37, Hewett G. (G),
  • 03:32, (Behind Rushed),
  • 04:42, Petty H. (Behind),
  • 15:17, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 18:40, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:26, McVee J. (Behind),
  • 21:11, (Behind Rushed),
  • 25:04, Windsor C. (G),
  • 27:00, Petracca C. (G),
  • 31:02, Gawn M. (G),

Chances of winning


Carlton Blues
46.9%
Melbourne Demons
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlton Blues's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Demons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Demons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlton Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Demons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.83)

    1.77
    (1.99)
    6.8%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 162.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Carlton won 2.
    • Recent matches Carlton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Melbourne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Melbourne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Our prediction for today's Melbourne to win the game is with odds 1.76.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Carlton won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1226-1419.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Carlton won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 841-912.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    28.02.2024 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 63:101
    15.09.2023 Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues 71:73
    12.08.2023 Carlton Blues - Melbourne Demons 60:56
    02.06.2023 Melbourne Demons - Carlton Blues 61:44
    Latest results of Carlton Blues
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    2025
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Collingwood Magpies1513021393:1026135.7752
    2Brisbane Lions1510141316:1160113.4542
    3Adelaide Crows1510051479:1058139.7940
    4Western Bulldogs1610061716:1288133.2340
    5Geelong Cats1510051477:1158127.5540
    6Hawthorn Hawks1510051347:1138118.3740
    7Fremantle Dockers1510051271:1151110.4340
    8Gold Coast Suns149051317:1095120.2736
    9GWS Giants159061294:1203107.5636
    10Port Adelaide Power157081156:130588.5828
    11Carlton Blues156091186:1181100.4224
    12Sydney Swans156091171:127192.1324
    13Essendon Bombers146081010:130477.4524
    14Melbourne Demons1550101176:135686.7320
    15St Kilda Saints1550101196:138886.1720
    16North Melbourne1641111237:160177.2618
    17Richmond Tigers153012963:148664.8012
    18West Coast Eagles1510141003:153965.174

          Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )

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