Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
82:76
22/08/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFL - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaAFL, Fox Footy
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 3

Match Stats

Goals
1111
Behinds
1610
Kicks
232228
Handballs
115168
Disposals
347396
Frees For
2223
Frees Against
2322
Clearances Completed
2638
Marks
123110
Tackles
5040
Hitouts
2828

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (19 - 18)
  • 02:30, Daicos J. (Behind),
  • 04:40, Schultz L. (G),
  • 06:16, Maynard B. (G),
  • 08:07, Gawn M. (G),
  • 11:23, Crisp J. (Behind),
  • 15:18, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 16:46, Pickett K. (G),
  • 20:07, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 23:18, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 26:15, Houston D. (Behind),
  • 27:59, Van Rooyen J. (G),
  • 29:52, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 2nd Quarter (27 - 15)
  • 03:30, Mihocek B. (G),
  • 05:36, (Behind Rushed),
  • 07:29, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 11:38, Melksham J. (G),
  • 12:49, McStay D. (Behind),
  • 14:44, Elliott J. (G),
  • 16:21, Mihocek B. (Behind),
  • 16:52, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 18:13, De Goey J. (G),
  • 22:03, Elliott J. (Behind),
  • 24:21, Sidebottom S. (G),
  • 31:44, Oliver C. (Behind),
  • 3rd Quarter (9 - 32)
  • 08:29, Melksham J. (Behind),
  • 09:58, Membrey T. (Behind),
  • 11:24, Pickett K. (G),
  • 12:58, Langford H. (G),
  • 15:12, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 16:25, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 18:22, (Behind Rushed),
  • 19:52, Fritsch B. (G),
  • 24:34, Crisp J. (G),
  • 27:07, Melksham J. (G),
  • 29:51, Lipinski P. (Behind),
  • 4th Quarter (27 - 11)
  • 02:21, (Behind Rushed),
  • 03:40, Petracca C. (G),
  • 07:57, Schultz L. (Behind),
  • 12:29, Long N. (G),
  • 14:04, (Behind Rushed),
  • 14:52, Rivers T. (Behind),
  • 15:43, Elliott J. (G),
  • 17:19, Van Rooyen J. (Behind),
  • 19:30, Schultz L. (G),
  • 21:15, Pickett K. (Behind),
  • 22:06, McCreery B. (Behind),
  • 23:16, McStay D. (G),
  • 26:52, Petracca C. (Behind),

Chances of winning


Collingwood Magpies
73.5%
Melbourne Demons
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.2% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Collingwood Magpies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Melbourne Demons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collingwood Magpies that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Demons than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Demons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.38)

    3.4
    (3.1)
    8.1%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-23)
    What is the prediction for Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons?
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne Demons will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Collingwood Magpies will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:71.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 4.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Collingwood is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Collingwood won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1660:1443. (average 83:72.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Collingwood won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 549:493. (average 78.4:70.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons were as follows:
    09.06.2025 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 71:72
    23.08.2024 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 57:103
    10.06.2024 Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons 89:51
    07.09.2023 Collingwood Magpies - Melbourne Demons 60:53
    12.06.2023 Melbourne Demons - Collingwood Magpies 66:62
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies
    Latest results of Melbourne Demons
    AFL Table
    2026
    PlWDL%%Pts
    1Sydney Swans8701945:571165.5028
    2Fremantle Dockers8701758:570132.9828
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    4Brisbane Lions8503862:684126.0220
    5Gold Coast Suns8503806:695115.9720
    6Geelong Cats8503791:690114.6420
    7Melbourne Demons8503811:809100.2520
    8Collingwood Magpies8413666:613108.6518
    9St Kilda Saints8404765:666114.8616
    10North Melbourne8404764:720106.1116
    11Adelaide Crows8404685:70996.6116
    12Western Bulldogs8404720:78791.4916
    13Port Adelaide Power8305703:634110.8812
    14GWS Giants8305668:75788.2412
    15West Coast Eagles8206557:93959.328
    16Carlton Blues8107634:81278.084
    17Essendon Bombers8107649:92570.164
    18Richmond Tigers8107523:87160.054

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