Wrexham vs Burton Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
05/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 41
  • Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.47
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
243
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
86% (456/533)61% (138/226)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.47
xG on target (xGOT)
2.560.58
Total shots
243
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
120
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
152
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
357
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
69
Passes
86% (456/533)61% (138/226)
Long passes
45% (17/38)22% (16/72)
Passes in final third
81% (189/233)44% (24/54)
Crosses
37% (13/35)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.430.18
Fouls
96
Tackles
40% (6/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5438
Clearances Total
2534
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.582.56
Goals prevented
0.31-0.44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Webster C. 🟥,
  • 33', Rathbone O. 🟨,
  • 34', Rodriguez J. , Fletcher S. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', McClean J. , Barnett R. ,
  • 46', Dobson G. , Lee E. ,
  • 49', Dodgson O. 🟨,
  • 62', McKiernan J. J. , Williams D. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Fletcher S. (Pen),
  • 74', 2 - 0, Smith S. , Longman R. (A),
  • 77', Smith S. , Marriott J. ,
  • 78', Burrell R. , Tavares F. ,
  • 79', Larsson J. , Forde A. ,
  • 85', Armer J. , Kalinauskas T. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Marriott J. , Barnett R. (A),
  • 90', Crocombe M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wrexham
61.1%
Draw
24.2%
Burton Albion
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 24.4% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 23.5% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Wrexham - Burton Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.53)
    3.91
    (3.75)
    6.41
    (5.75)
    6.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Wrexham - Burton Albion?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Wrexham (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Wrexham is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Burton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Burton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Wrexham is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Wrexham: Bolton L. (Inactive) Boyle W. (Inactive) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Palmer O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Burton: Akoto N. (Inactive) Bajrami G. (Knee Injury) Gilligan C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wrexham: Burton C. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Burton: Bodvarsson J. (Injury) Jones J. (Foot Injury) Tavares F. (Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wrexham - Burton Albion were as follows:
    07.12.2024 Burton Albion - Wrexham 0:1
    05.12.2023 Wrexham - Burton Albion 2:3
    Latest results of Wrexham
    01.04.2025 Cambridge United - Wrexham 2:2
    29.03.2025 Exeter City - Wrexham 0:2
    22.03.2025 Wrexham - Stockport County 1:0
    11.03.2025 Reading - Wrexham 2:0
    Latest results of Burton Albion
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two