Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Howard P. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (223/323) | 61% (168/274) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (223/323) | 61% (168/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (16/65) | 37% (30/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (61/109) | 48% (46/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Forrester W. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Tavares F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Clare S. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 1, Ballard D. ⚽, Craig M. (A),
- 54', Morris J. 🟨,
- 55', Evans G. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 2, Hartridge A. ⚽, Beesley J. (A),
- 59', Simpson J. ↓, Happe D. ↑,
- 63', Tavares F. ↓, Krubally S. ↑,
- 68', Abdulai A. ↓, Bakinson T. ↑,
- 68', Craig M. ↓, James T. ↑,
- 78', Connolly A. ↓, Perkins S. ↑,
- 82', McKiernan J. J. ↓, Sibbick T. ↑,
- 82', Moon J. ↓, Vancooten T. ↑,
- 90', Beesley J. ↓, Delap F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Leyton Orient
52% | Draw
24.8% | Burton Albion
23.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leyton Orient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Burton Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leyton Orient than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leyton Orient that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (+4%)
Leyton Orient - Burton Albion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.96) |
3.76 ↑
(3.53) |
4.06 ↑
(3.48) |
6.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Leyton Orient - Burton Albion?
Users Predictions:
Leyton Orient will win
(17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 20 and 18)
- Leyton Orient has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Burton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Leyton Orient is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Leyton Orient: Edmonds-Green R.
(Knee Injury)
Graham J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Burton: Delap F.
(Knee Injury)
Jones J.
(Foot Injury)
Revan S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Leyton Orient: Archibald T.
(Inactive)
El Mizouni I.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leyton Orient won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leyton Orient won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Leyton Orient won against Burton Albion?
Leyton Orient has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Burton Albion won against Leyton Orient?
Burton Albion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leyton Orient - Burton Albion were as follows:
29.11.2025
Burton Albion
-
Leyton Orient
0:4
01.04.2025
Burton Albion
-
Leyton Orient
2:1
14.12.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Burton Albion
0:0
17.02.2024
Leyton Orient
-
Burton Albion
1:2
28.10.2023
Burton Albion
-
Leyton Orient
0:0
Latest results of Leyton Orient
Latest results of Burton Albion
English League One Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton ✔ | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
