Manchester United vs Brentford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
2:1
27/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 34
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.281.44
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
64
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
78
Passes
83% (334/404)87% (423/485)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.281.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.750.95
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
04
Shots inside the box
79
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
01
Headed goals
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2142
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
12
Free kicks
96
Passes
83% (334/404)87% (423/485)
Long passes
51% (27/53)56% (25/45)
Passes in final third
71% (69/97)78% (139/178)
Crosses
20% (3/15)24% (8/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.311.27
Throw ins
1011
Fouls
69
Tackles
48% (15/31)50% (4/8)
Duels won
6632
Clearances
4821
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.951.75
Goals prevented
-0.05-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Shaw L. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Casemiro ⚽, Maguire H. (A),
  • 40', van den Berg S. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Diallo A. ↓, Mazraoui N. ↑,
  • 71', Ouattara Da. 🟨,
  • 73', Schade K. ↓, Nelson R. ↑,
  • 73', Shaw L. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
  • 74', Mbeumo B. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
  • 76', Thiago I. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Jensen M. ⚽, Nelson R. (A),
  • 88', Sesko B. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
  • 90+2', Zirkzee J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Collins N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
48.4%		Draw
25.3%		Brentford
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 24.1% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 23.7% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Brentford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
    •

    Manchester United - Brentford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.99 ↑
    (1.84)    		 3.8 ↓
    (3.98)    		 3.64 ↓
    (4.05)    		 4.1%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Brentford?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Man Utd (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Man Utd (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Brentford (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (102 of 114 users predict this - 89.47%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.84% – 95.1%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Brentford (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Brentford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Dorgu P. (Hamstring Injury) Yoro L. (Injury) de Ligt M. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Knee Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Furo K. (Groin Injury) Henderson J. (Knock) Henry R. (Muscle Injury) Janelt V. (Foot Injury) Milambo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Mbeumo B. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Brentford were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 3:1
    04.05.2025 Brentford - Manchester United 4:3
    19.10.2024 Manchester United - Brentford 2:1
    30.03.2024 Brentford - Manchester United 1:1
    07.10.2023 Manchester United - Brentford 2:1
    Latest results of Manchester United
    18.04.2026 Chelsea - Manchester United 0:1 ✺
    13.04.2026 Manchester United - Leeds United 1:2 ✺
    20.03.2026 Bournemouth - Manchester United 2:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Manchester United - Aston Villa 3:1 ✺
    04.03.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester United 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Brentford
    18.04.2026 Brentford - Fulham 0:0 ✺
    11.04.2026 Brentford - Everton 2:2 ✺
    21.03.2026 Leeds United - Brentford 0:0 ✺
    16.03.2026 Brentford - Wolverhampton Wanderers 2:2 ✺
    09.03.2026 West Ham United - Brentford 3:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 35237567:264176
    2Manchester City ✔ 33217566:293770
    3Manchester Utd ✔ 351810763:481564
    4Liverpool351771159:471258
    5Aston Villa341771047:42558
    6Bournemouth351216755:52352
    7Brentford351491252:46651
    8Brighton3513111149:42750
    9Chelsea341391253:45848
    10Fulham351461544:49-548
    11Everton341381341:41047
    12Sunderland3512111237:46-947
    13Newcastle351361649:51-245
    14Leeds3510131247:52-543
    15Crystal Palace3411101336:42-643
    16Nottingham341091541:45-439
    17West Ham35991742:61-1936
    18Tottenham348101643:53-1034
    19Burnley ✔ 35482335:71-3620
    20Wolves ✔ 35392325:63-3818

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    Burnley is Relegated to Championship
    Wolves is Relegated to Championship
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