Result
0:1
30/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 20
- Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (401/474) | 87% (390/446) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (401/474) | 87% (390/446) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (61/93) | 76% (70/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Ndiaye C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Belozoglu E. 🟨,
- 63', Diabate F. ↓, Ustundag C. ↑,
- 63', Kol A. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
- 67', Ustundag C. 🟨,
- 74', Ndiaye C. ↓, Marius ↑,
- 74', Tavsan E. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 74', Ntcham O. ↓, Yuksel C. ↑,
- 76', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Tosun C. ↑,
- 77', Corekci K. 🟨,
- 85', Gueye P. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 85', Kahveci I. C. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
- 90+2', 0 - 1, Assoumou J. ⚽, Makoumbou A. (A),
- 90+4', Assoumou J. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
- 90+6', Holse C. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
31.2% | Draw
30.4% | Samsunspor
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.76) |
3.11 ↓
(3.43) |
2.44 ↓
(2.47) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Samsunspor (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Samsunspor (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
- Recent form of Kasımpaşa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Samsunspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Cafu
(Injury)
Demirbay K.
(Red Card)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Coulibaly T.
(Knee Injury)
Kayan Y.
(Yellow Cards)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Kasımpaşa: Rodrigo Becao
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Holse C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Samsunspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Samsunspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Samsunspor were as follows:
17.09.2025
Samsunspor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:0
29.03.2025
Samsunspor
-
Kasımpaşa
0:2
26.10.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Samsunspor
1:4
27.04.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Samsunspor
1:0
09.12.2023
Samsunspor
-
Kasımpaşa
4:2
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
