Result
3:2
08/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bolivia | ESPN 7 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Ecuador | ESPN 7 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/439) | 75% (266/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 2.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (358/439) | 75% (266/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (79/102) | 63% (64/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 61% (17/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | -1.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 11', 0 - 1, Marius ⚽, Holse C. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Guendouzi M. ⚽, Musaba A. (A),
- 16', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 2, Marius ⚽, Tomasson L. (A),
- 44', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 45+3', Ederson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cift Y. E. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
- 46', Mendes J. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 51', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
- 61', Musaba A. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 62', Muldur M. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
- 62', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
- 75', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
- 75', Kante N. ↓, Fred ↑,
- 79', Marius ↓, Ndiaye C. ↑,
- 84', Ntcham O. ↓, Kayan Y. ↑,
- 89', Yuksel C. ↓, Diabbate A. B. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 2, Nene D. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
- 90+1', Tedesco D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Cherif S. ⚽, Asensio M. (A),
- 90+6', Makoumbou A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Guendouzi M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kocuk O. 🟨,
- 90+7', Tedesco D. 🟨,
- 90+11', Asensio M. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fenerbahçe
65.4% | Draw
20.8% | Samsunspor
13.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.46) |
4.52 ↑
(4.42) |
6.99 ↑
(6.78) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 84.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 1.
- Fenerbahçe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samsunspor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Soyuncu C.
(Muscle Injury)
Talisca
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Samsunspor: Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Kilinc E.
(Inactive)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Semedo N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Samsunspor?
Fenerbahçe has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samsunspor won against Fenerbahçe?
Samsunspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor were as follows:
06.01.2026
Fenerbahçe
-
Samsunspor
2:0
05.10.2025
Samsunspor
-
Fenerbahçe
0:0
20.10.2024
Samsunspor
-
Fenerbahçe
2:2
21.01.2024
Fenerbahçe
-
Samsunspor
1:1
21.08.2023
Samsunspor
-
Fenerbahçe
0:2
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Latest results of Samsunspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
