Result
2:1
24/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 20
- Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (247/353) | 77% (342/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (247/353) | 77% (342/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (17/68) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (76/129) | 70% (86/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.37 | -1.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Namli Y. ⚽, Monteiro J. (A),
- 23', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 38', Shoretire S. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Ogawa K. ⚽, Chery T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Sandler P. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 64', Thomas R. 🟨,
- 74', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 75', Ouaissa S. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
- 75', Ogawa K. ↓, Kers K. ↑,
- 76', Namli Y. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Chery T. ⚽, Pereira B. (A),
- 80', Oosting T. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 89', Monteiro J. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
- 90+2', Chery T. ↓, Willems J. ↑,
- 90+5', Crettaz G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
64.4% | Draw
19.8% | Zwolle
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.45) |
4.81 ↑
(4.45) |
5.93 ↓
(6) |
5.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 18 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 70.7% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Zwolle (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 40%). Zwolle (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- Nijmegen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zwolle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zwolle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nijmegen is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
Misidjan V.
(Inactive)
Nejasmic D.
(Injury)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Ouaissa S.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
Voute D.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y.
(Wrist Injury)
- We predict that Nijmegen will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Zwolle?
NEC Nijmegen has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against NEC Nijmegen?
Zwolle has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Zwolle were as follows:
25.10.2025
Zwolle
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:2
11.01.2025
Zwolle
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:1
29.10.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Zwolle
4:3
24.08.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Zwolle
1:0
14.04.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Zwolle
2:2
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
