Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Dieperink R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (312/408) | 75% (323/429) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (312/408) | 75% (323/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (23/68) | 47% (38/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (53/106) | 60% (69/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.12 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.44 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Oosting T. ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, Sanches Fernandes D. ⚽, Widell C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Yegoian I. 🟨,
- 60', 2 - 1, Velanas O. ⚽, Oosting T. (A),
- 62', Velanas O. ↓, de Rooij K. ↑,
- 62', Thomas R. ↓, Gooijer T. ↑,
- 62', Schouten L. ↓, Hansson E. ↑,
- 74', Kostons K. ↓, Buitink T. ↑,
- 79', Meissen R. ↓, Wlodarczyk S. ↑,
- 79', Yegoian I. ↓, van Duinen M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 2, Wlodarczyk S. ⚽, de Regt G. (A),
Chances of winning
Zwolle
42.2% | Draw
26.5% | Excelsior
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Zwolle - Excelsior Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.06) |
3.59 ↑
(3.52) |
3.05 ↓
(3.28) |
5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Excelsior?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Zwolle will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 3.
- Zwolle has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Excelsior is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Excelsior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Zwolle could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Lagsir S.
(Muscle Injury)
Monteiro J.
(Muscle Injury)
Schendelaar J.
(Thigh Injury)
Shoretire S.
(Knee Injury)
Voute D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Excelsior: Akujobi H.
(Knee Injury)
Jonathans M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Excelsior: Bergraaf J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 37:14. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Excelsior?
Zwolle has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Excelsior won against Zwolle?
Excelsior has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Excelsior were as follows:
20.12.2025
Excelsior
-
Zwolle
2:1
06.04.2024
Zwolle
-
Excelsior
2:1
22.10.2023
Excelsior
-
Zwolle
2:4
Latest results of Excelsior
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
