Durango vs Derio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Durango
39.1%
Draw
30.8%
Derio
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.8% 31.7% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 31.9% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Durango aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Durango - Derio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.36)
    2.96
    (2.88)
    3.03
    (3.11)
    9.8%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).
    • Durango has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Derio is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Derio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Durango has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Durango won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Durango won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Durango - Derio were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Derio - Durango 2:2
    20.04.2024 Durango - Derio 0:1
    03.12.2023 Derio - Durango 0:1
    Latest results of Durango
    02.11.2025 Touring KE - Durango 2:0
    11.10.2025 Durango - Leioa 0:0
    05.10.2025 Eibar C - Durango 2:2
    20.09.2025 Zarautz KE - Durango 0:0
    Latest results of Derio
    31.10.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 1:0
    25.10.2025 Zamudio - Derio 2:3
    18.10.2025 Derio - Santurtzi 3:0
    12.10.2025 Real Sociedad C - Derio 0:2
    05.10.2025 Derio - Pasaia 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portugalete24193252:173560
    2Leioa24143735:231245
    3Lagun Onak24132936:221441
    4Touring KE24118531:201141
    5Aurrera de Vitoria24124831:30140
    6San Ignacio24115824:18638
    7Derio24114937:29837
    8Alaves C24106838:271136
    9UD Aretxabaleta24105941:40135
    10Durango2489724:21333
    11Real Sociedad C241031126:28-233
    12Santurtzi2469924:32-827
    13Eibar C24751228:38-1026
    14Zamudio24741327:39-1225
    15Pasaia24661216:30-1424
    16Anorga24731423:43-2024
    17Zarautz KE24631520:43-2321
    18SD Deusto24461417:30-1318

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation