Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Durango 48% | Draw 28.7% | Aurrerá de Vitoria 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Aurrerá de Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurrerá de Vitoria than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.92 ↓ (2.11) |
3.21 ↑ (3.13) |
3.94 ↑ (3.28) |
8.7% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
- Durango has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aurrerá de Vitoria is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Durango could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Durango won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Durango won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Durango won against Aurrerá de Vitoria?
Durango has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aurrerá de Vitoria won against Durango?
Aurrerá de Vitoria has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Durango - Aurrerá de Vitoria were as follows:
19.10.2025
Aurrerá de Vitoria
-
Durango
0:0
11.03.2023
Aurrerá de Vitoria
-
Durango
1:1
05.11.2022
Durango
-
Aurrerá de Vitoria
2:1
Latest results of Durango
Latest results of Aurrerá de Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 32 | 23 | 6 | 3 | 67:26 | 41 | 75 |
| 2 | Leioa | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 45:30 | 15 | 58 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 45:31 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 50:31 | 19 | 53 |
| 5 | Derio | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 51:39 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | San Ignacio | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 52 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 55:38 | 17 | 50 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad C | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 49 |
| 9 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 48 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 52:58 | -6 | 42 |
| 11 | Durango | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 31:31 | 0 | 41 |
| 12 | Pasaia | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 36 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 29:40 | -11 | 36 |
| 14 | Anorga | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 35:54 | -19 | 34 |
| 15 | Zamudio | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 41:54 | -13 | 33 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 32 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 28:59 | -31 | 27 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 21:44 | -23 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation