Result
0:2
02/03/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/396) | 91% (442/488) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (323/396) | 91% (442/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 74% (39/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (58/88) | 79% (118/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.98 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Kaiboue K. 🟨,
- 52', 0 - 1, Diawara K. ⚽, Bentayeb T. (A),
- 60', 0 - 2, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
- 67', Leautey A. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
- 68', Roussillon J. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
- 68', Kandil N. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 80', Gambor H. 🟨,
- 82', Diawara K. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 83', Averlant T. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
- 87', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 88', Alvero S. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
- 90', Detourbet M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5487uwck
Chances of winning
Amiens
22.3% | Draw
25% | Troyes
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Amiens - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.2 ↓
(4.26) |
3.75 ↑
(3.56) |
1.77 ↓
(1.8) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Amiens - Troyes?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Amiens (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Troyes will win
(18 of 21 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.74% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Troyes will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Amiens (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Troyes (votes: 10 - 83.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 0.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Amiens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Troyes is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lo A.
(Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Boura I.
(Health problems)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Ifnaoui M.
(Injury)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Phliponeau A.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Amiens: Monconduit T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Troyes?
Amiens has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Amiens?
Troyes has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Troyes were as follows:
28.10.2025
Troyes
-
Amiens
3:1
10.05.2025
Troyes
-
Amiens
1:0
03.01.2025
Amiens
-
Troyes
0:3
27.04.2024
Amiens
-
Troyes
0:0
05.12.2023
Troyes
-
Amiens
2:0
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 49:28 | 21 | 57 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 50:29 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 41:29 | 12 | 50 |
| 4 | Red Star | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 32:27 | 5 | 47 |
| 5 | Reims | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 6 | Rodez | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 35:33 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 35:34 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 38:40 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 34 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Amiens | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 33:50 | -17 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 18 | Bastia | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 15:31 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
