Troyes vs Lens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
04/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Coupe de France - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, beIN Sports MENA French 1
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaZhiBo8
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
greeceGreeceERT 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayVG+
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Sport TV2, Voyo
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.413.13
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
99
Big chances
27
Corner kicks
68
Passes
77% (255/331)84% (407/487)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.413.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.943.13
Total shots
1615
Shots on target
99
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
1213
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
02
Big chances
27
Corner kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free kicks
1012
Passes
77% (255/331)84% (407/487)
Long passes
49% (23/47)54% (29/54)
Passes in final third
68% (90/132)77% (99/129)
Crosses
39% (7/18)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.132.27
Throw ins
2028
Fouls
1210
Tackles
45% (5/11)33% (5/15)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
157
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
47
xGOT faced
3.131.94
Goals prevented
-0.87-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', Ifnaoui M. , Odede E. ,
  • 17', Gambor H. 🟨,
  • 25', Diop M. 🟨,
  • 41', 0 - 1, Sotoca F. , Udol M. (A),
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Adeline M. , Donkor N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Haidara A. , Sangare M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 2, Sima A. , Udol M. (A),
  • 52', 1 - 3, Bulatovic A. , Sotoca F. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 4, Sima A. , Sotoca F. (A),
  • 62', Sotoca F. , Said W. ,
  • 62', Sima A. , Saint-Maximin A. ,
  • 63', 2 - 4, Ripart R. ,
  • 64', Donkor N. , Ouzenadji A. ,
  • 64', Odede E. , Bentayeb T. ,
  • 66', Said W. 🟨,
  • 69', Abdulhamid S. , Aguilar R. ,
  • 70', Monfray A. 🟨,
  • 71', Ripart R. 🟨,
  • 73', Adeline M. , Mille A. ,
  • 73', Diop M. , El Idrissy M. ,
  • 79', Saint-Maximin A. 🟨,
  • 81', Fofana R. , Masuaku A. ,
  • 86', Risser R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Troyes
25.1%
Draw
24.5%
Lens
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.3% 19.9% 63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6% 19.1% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.
  • Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Troyes that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Troyes - Lens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.74
    (5.73)
    3.85
    (4.7)
    1.88
    (1.47)
    6.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Troyes - Lens?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Lens will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lens: 64.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lens will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 0.
    • Troyes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lens is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Lens is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Lens were as follows:
    28.01.2023 Troyes - Lens 1:1
    09.09.2022 Lens - Troyes 1:0
    Latest results of Troyes
    31.01.2026 Troyes - Le Mans 0:2
    24.01.2026 Guingamp - Troyes 1:0
    17.01.2026 Troyes - Reims 2:1
    10.01.2026 Bastia - Troyes 0:2
    03.01.2026 Troyes - Red Star 1:0
    Latest results of Lens
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0
    24.01.2026 Olympique Marseille - Lens 3:1
    17.01.2026 Lens - Auxerre 1:0
    11.01.2026 Sochaux - Lens 0:3
    02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1Saint-Brice CourcellesBogny1 : 2
    2CamonLusitanos0 : 7
    4ByeLille
    5LyonBye
    7Saint-Cyr CollongesThonon-Evian1 : 0
    8FC RhoneGrasse2 : 1
    9SeyssinetAubagne1 : 0
    10SS AllingesIstres1 : 2
    11SA MerignacColomiers1 : 0
    12TrelissacPau FC0 : 2
    13Stade QuimperloisAncienne Chateau-Gontier0 : 9
    14St. Colomban LocmineGuingamp1 : 2
    15Le Cellier MauvesLaval0 : 6
    16Saint-PauloiseDominicaine1 : 0
    17EspoirEveil1 : 0
    18ChallansPontivy0 : 2
    19SableSaint-Malo0 : 1
    20US Chateau-MaloBastia0 : 6
    21Olympique MarcquoisAire-sur-la-Lys5 : 0
    22LonguenesseBondues0 : 2
    23TouraineEpernay2 : 1
    24AizenayTroyes0 : 3
    25Villars-l'IsleSarre Union1 : 2
    26PontarlierSochaux2 : 3
    27SteenvoordeChambly2 : 1
    28Loon PlageBethune1 : 2
    29LensBye
    31APM MetzFleury-Merogis3 : 2
    32CambraiFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 4
    33YvetotASPTT Caen2 : 1
    34BayeuxCaen3 : 2
    35Le PoinconnetRomorantin0 : 2
    36BloisClermont2 : 1
    37MarseilleBye
    39Mauguio CarnonSelongey0 : 1
    40Atlas PailladeBourg en Bresse0 : 2
    41CormontreuilPorto Portugais5 : 2
    42PremontreChantilly0 : 3
    43WittenheimFreyming2 : 3
    44BesanconThionville4 : 0
    45Pen HirLes Sables1 : 2
    46PlouvornVitre2 : 1
    48ByeRennes
    49PledranPlabennec0 : 2
    50OrvaultLes Herbiers1 : 3
    52ByeAngers
    53PierrelatteLyon - La Duchere0 : 2
    54Carnoux F.C.Pirae5 : 1
    56ByeToulouse
    57MontreuilBandrele1 : 0
    58GranvilleDinan3 : 1
    59Gouzon AvenirChauvigny1 : 5
    60LapalisseStade Poitevin1 : 2
    61Le HavreBye
    63Reims Ste AnneGFC Ajaccio2 : 1
    64AubyAmiens0 : 3
    65BrestBye
    67AvranchesParis 13 Atl.1 : 0
    68SA BeaumontAubervilliers4 : 7
    69StrasbourgBye
    71ES CappelleAbbeville2 : 3
    72BoulogneDunkerque2 : 3
    73Saint-JeanAngouleme CFC1 : 0
    74OrleansBayonne3 : 0
    75JA DrancyBeauvais0 : 1
    76Saint AmandDieppe0 : 3
    77AuxerreBye
    80ByeMonaco
    81Montreal-la-CluseChalon0 : 3
    82ASPTT DijonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    83FC 2 Rives 82Mazeres0 : 1
    84EBBEBordeaux0 : 1
    85IC CroixRacing CFF3 : 2
    86Etoile MatouryLe Geldar1 : 2
    87AvionTorcy0 : 2
    88OCPAMReims0 : 1
    89Etoile BobignyVilleneuve-la-Garenne1 : 2
    90IvryLe Mans1 : 2
    91Saint-MezieryPerigny1 : 2
    92MontmorillonBeaucouze0 : 1
    93CannesAnnecy1 : 2
    94Olympique de VillefontaineGrenoble0 : 3
    95SarregueminesFuriani Agliani5 : 3
    96GSA TomblaineNancy0 : 5
    97Seignosse CapbretonMarmande2 : 3
    98Bassin d'ArcachonBlagnac4 : 1
    99AndrezieuxHauts Lyonnais1 : 2
    100Savigneux MontbrisonFeurs3 : 5
    101LorientBye
    103MoulienAS Le Gosier2 : 3
    104OisselQuevilly Rouen3 : 2
    105PSGBye
    107FontenayChamalieres1 : 0
    108Biars-BretenouxChateauroux0 : 2
    109Paris FCBye
    111MutzigRaon L Etape0 : 3
    112MagentaMulhouse0 : 3
    113Les BleuetsConcarneau0 : 3
    114St. RenanStade Briochin0 : 4
    116ByeNantes
    117NiceBye
    119Nord LozereEcotay Moingt4 : 5
    120QuetignySt Etienne1 : 3
    121Strasbourg KoenigshoffenBiesheim2 : 3
    122ForbachRed Star0 : 2
    124ByeMetz
    125AuchCanet Roussillon1 : 4
    126LavaurRodez1 : 3
    127MontceauL'Etrat La Tour2 : 1
    128AgdeMontpellier0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1BognyLusitanos0 : 3
    2ByeLille
    3LyonBye
    4Saint-Cyr CollongesFC Rhone1 : 0
    5SeyssinetIstres0 : 2
    6SA MerignacPau FC1 : 0
    7Ancienne Chateau-GontierGuingamp0 : 4
    8LavalSaint-Pauloise6 : 0
    9EspoirPontivy0 : 4
    10Saint-MaloBastia0 : 1
    11Olympique MarcquoisBondues2 : 0
    12TouraineTroyes0 : 2
    13Sarre UnionSochaux0 : 6
    14SteenvoordeBethune0 : 1
    15LensBye
    16APM MetzFeignies-Aulnoye0 : 2
    17YvetotBayeux0 : 1
    18RomorantinBlois2 : 3
    19MarseilleBye
    20SelongeyBourg en Bresse2 : 3
    21CormontreuilChantilly1 : 2
    22FreymingBesancon1 : 0
    23Les SablesPlouvorn2 : 1
    24ByeRennes
    25PlabennecLes Herbiers1 : 2
    26ByeAngers
    27Lyon - La DuchereCarnoux F.C.3 : 1
    28ByeToulouse
    29MontreuilGranville2 : 1
    30ChauvignyStade Poitevin4 : 3
    31Le HavreBye
    32Reims Ste AnneAmiens0 : 4
    33BrestBye
    34AvranchesAubervilliers2 : 1
    35StrasbourgBye
    36AbbevilleDunkerque0 : 5
    37Saint-JeanOrleans1 : 2
    38BeauvaisDieppe1 : 2
    39AuxerreBye
    40ByeMonaco
    41ChalonLe Puy-en-Velay0 : 1
    42MazeresBordeaux3 : 4
    43IC CroixLe Geldar2 : 1
    44TorcyReims1 : 5
    45Villeneuve-la-GarenneLe Mans2 : 3
    46PerignyBeaucouze3 : 1
    47AnnecyGrenoble1 : 2
    48SarregueminesNancy3 : 4
    49MarmandeBassin d'Arcachon0 : 1
    50Hauts LyonnaisFeurs2 : 1
    51LorientBye
    52AS Le GosierOissel3 : 2
    53PSGBye
    54FontenayChateauroux4 : 1
    55Paris FCBye
    56Raon L EtapeMulhouse3 : 2
    57ConcarneauStade Briochin1 : 0
    58ByeNantes
    59NiceBye
    60Ecotay MoingtSt Etienne1 : 11
    61BiesheimRed Star2 : 1
    62ByeMetz
    63Canet RoussillonRodez1 : 0
    64MontceauMontpellier0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1LusitanosLille0 : 1
    2LyonSaint-Cyr Collonges3 : 0
    3IstresSA Merignac1 : 0
    4GuingampLaval0 : 1
    5PontivyBastia0 : 1
    6Olympique MarcquoisTroyes1 : 3
    7SochauxBethune4 : 2
    8LensFeignies-Aulnoye3 : 1
    9BayeuxBlois2 : 1
    10MarseilleBourg en Bresse6 : 0
    11ChantillyFreyming3 : 0
    12Les SablesRennes0 : 3
    13Les HerbiersAngers0 : 1
    14Lyon - La DuchereToulouse1 : 2
    15MontreuilChauvigny2 : 1
    16Le HavreAmiens0 : 2
    17BrestAvranches1 : 2
    18StrasbourgDunkerque2 : 1
    19OrleansDieppe3 : 0
    20AuxerreMonaco1 : 2
    21Le Puy-en-VelayBordeaux1 : 0
    22IC CroixReims0 : 4
    23Le MansPerigny2 : 1
    24GrenobleNancy1 : 2
    25Bassin d'ArcachonHauts Lyonnais0 : 1
    26LorientAS Le Gosier7 : 0
    27PSGFontenay4 : 0
    28Paris FCRaon L Etape3 : 0
    29ConcarneauNantes3 : 5
    30NiceSt Etienne2 : 1
    31BiesheimMetz0 : 3
    32Canet RoussillonMontpellier0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1LilleLyon1 : 2
    2IstresLaval0 : 2
    3BastiaTroyes0 : 2
    4SochauxLens0 : 3
    5BayeuxMarseille0 : 9
    6ChantillyRennes1 : 3
    7AngersToulouse1 : 2
    8MontreuilAmiens2 : 4
    9AvranchesStrasbourg0 : 6
    10OrleansMonaco1 : 3
    11Le Puy-en-VelayReims0 : 1
    12Le MansNancy1 : 0
    13Hauts LyonnaisLorient1 : 3
    14PSGParis FC0 : 1
    15NantesNice1 : 2
    16MetzMontpellier0 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1LyonLaval2 : 0
    2TroyesLens2 : 4
    3MarseilleRennes3 : 0
    4ToulouseAmiens1 : 0
    5StrasbourgMonaco3 : 1
    6ReimsLe Mans3 : 0
    7LorientParis FC2 : 0
    8NiceMontpellier3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1LyonLens2 : 3
    2MarseilleToulouse2 : 3
    3StrasbourgReims2 : 1
    4LorientNice0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1LensToulouse4 : 1
    2StrasbourgNice0 : 2

    Final
    1LensNice