Result
3:4 OT
15/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 2.53 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 18.18% (4/22) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.82% (18/22) | 88% (22/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 41.07 | 58.93 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 09:21, 1 - 0, Knihti F. (G), Lipiainen V. (A), Tiivola P. (A2)
- 14:18, Kostilainen S. (2 min),
- 16:32, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 18:29, 2 - 0, Tiivola P. (G), Juhola P. (A), Nurmi P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:52, Kramer B. (2 min),
- 11:18, (2 min),
- 16:14, Ylitalo O. (2 min),
- 18:28, 3 - 0, Puutio K. (G), Ylitalo O. (A),
- 19:42, 3 - 1, Kramer B. (G), Tauslahti M. (A), Aho K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 03:47, 3 - 2, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
- 04:57, Salminen S. (2 min),
- 10:05, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 19:49, 3 - 3, Kuusla E. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 02:08, 3 - 4, Kramer B. (G), Siikanen P. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ässät
30.6% | Draw
23.1% | SaiPa
46.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SaiPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ässät - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.08 ↑
(2.83) |
3.99 ↑
(3.83) |
2 ↓
(2.19) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ässät - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ässät will win (votes: 1 - 25%). SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 2.
- Ässät is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SaiPa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ässät has had a series of away games.
- SaiPa could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 54:51. (average 2.7:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3.3:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against SaiPa?
Ässät has won 9 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Ässät?
SaiPa has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - SaiPa were as follows:
11.02.2026
SaiPa
-
Ässät
4:0
12.11.2025
SaiPa
-
Ässät
2:5
21.10.2025
Ässät
-
SaiPa
3:2
01.08.2025
SaiPa
-
Ässät
2:1
01.02.2025
Ässät
-
SaiPa
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
