Result
4:2
13/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.71 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 26.67% (4/15) | 9.09% (2/22) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.91% (20/22) | 73.33% (11/15) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 50% (3/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.02 | 40.98 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 0)
- 08:24, 1 - 0, Kramer B. (G), Siikanen P. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
- 09:43, Tiivola P. (2 min),
- 09:55, 2 - 0, Nikkanen H. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 12:54, Bau S. (2 min),
- 14:04, Knihti F. (2 min),
- 15:10, 3 - 0, Nikkanen H. (G), Airola S. (A), Kalapudas A. (A2)
- 18:48, Talaja R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 04:05, Lipiainen V. (2 min),
- 08:24, 3 - 1, Talaja R. (G), Viljanen V. (A), Maatta R. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:29, Knihti F. (2 min),
- 07:38, 4 - 1, Nikkanen H. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
- 08:37, 4 - 2, Jarvinen J. (G), Noiva N. (A), Anttalainen A. (A2)
- 15:50, Salminen S. (2 min),
Chances of winning
SaiPa
54.9% | Draw
23.4% | Ässät
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
SaiPa - Ässät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.75) |
4.01 ↓
(4.02) |
4.32 ↑
(4.06) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for SaiPa - Ässät?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Ässät will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Series tied 3-3. Seventh leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, SaiPa is a strong favorite.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:48. (average 2.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 2.6:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Ässät?
SaiPa has won 12 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against SaiPa?
Ässät has won 12 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Ässät were as follows:
11.04.2026
Ässät
-
SaiPa
1:3
08.04.2026
SaiPa
-
Ässät
1:5
06.04.2026
Ässät
-
SaiPa
4:2
03.04.2026
SaiPa
-
Ässät
4:1
31.03.2026
Ässät
-
SaiPa
2:3
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lukko (5) | Hameenlinna (12) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Ilves (4) | Bye | |
| 4 | KalPa (7) | IFK Helsinki (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 5 | KooKoo (2) | Bye | |
| 6 | JYP (6) | Pelicans (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 7 | SaiPa (3) | Bye | |
| 8 | Assat (8) | Kiekko-Espoo (9) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Hameenlinna (12) | 4 : 1 |
| 2 | Ilves (4) | KalPa (7) | 4 : 2 |
| 3 | KooKoo (2) | Pelicans (11) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | SaiPa (3) | Assat (8) | 4 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tappara (1) | Ilves (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | KooKoo (2) | SaiPa (3) | 2 : 1 |
