Result
3:1
28/12/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 19
- Referee: Erdemir B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.57 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/359) | 86% (398/463) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/359) | 86% (398/463) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (30/59) | 62% (37/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (61/83) | 71% (89/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 57% (13/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -1.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Fernandes J. ⚽,
- 27', Dere A. 🟨,
- 37', Akdag I. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Wellington Nascimento ⚽, Bulut H. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ozdemir T. ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 46', Goksu S. ↓, Hoti E. ↑,
- 55', Bulbul A. T. 🟨,
- 60', 3 - 0, Ezeh F. ⚽,
- 66', Bulbul A. T. ↓, Kaplan E. ↑,
- 66', Celik B. ↓, Kosoko T. ↑,
- 72', Diouf M. 🟨,
- 73', Fernandes J. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 1, Hoti E. ⚽, Benny (A),
- 84', Bulut H. ↓, Bilgic H. ↑,
- 84', Ezeh F. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
- 85', Bardhi J. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
- 90+1', Roshi O. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
- 90+1', Akdag I. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Keçiörengücü
63.3% | Draw
22.7% | Umraniyespor
13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↑
(1.44) |
4.11 ↓
(4.59) |
6.69 ↑
(6.14) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Keçiörengücü (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Keçiörengücü (votes: 2 - 50%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Keçiörengücü may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Keçiörengücü is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Keçiörengücü: Akan M.
(Inactive)
Keskin B.
(Suspended)
Mexer
(International duty)
Tasbakir R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y.
(Suspended)
- There are questionable in Keçiörengücü: Bulut H.
(Injury)
- We predict that Keçiörengücü will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Keçiörengücü won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Keçiörengücü won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Keçiörengücü won against Umraniyespor?
Keçiörengücü has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Keçiörengücü?
Umraniyespor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor were as follows:
20.04.2025
Keçiörengücü
-
Umraniyespor
0:1
15.12.2024
Umraniyespor
-
Keçiörengücü
1:2
28.04.2024
Keçiörengücü
-
Umraniyespor
4:2
09.12.2023
Umraniyespor
-
Keçiörengücü
2:0
Latest results of Keçiörengücü
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
