Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 36
- Referee: Yorgancilar R. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (327/386) | 82% (320/388) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (327/386) | 82% (320/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (107/147) | 73% (72/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Bars E. ↓, Xesc ↑,
- 46', Traore A. ↓, Ozcan M. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Ozcan M. ⚽,
- 64', Kosoko T. ↓, Soukou C. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Hoti E. ⚽, Sas Y. D. (A),
- 73', Bardhi J. 🟨,
- 77', Bardhi J. ↓, Aktas K. ↑,
- 77', Benny ↓, Ekincier B. ↑,
- 80', Kara B. C. ↓, Yildrim A. ↑,
- 80', Xesc ↓, Coksu M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Hostikka S. ⚽,
- 87', Celik B. ↓, Ozdemir T. ↑,
- 87', Eser M. ↓, Ugur O. ↑,
- 90+2', Hostikka S. ↓, Jevsenak Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Umraniyespor
44.8% | Draw
26.5% | Vanspor
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umraniyespor's performance.Vanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umraniyespor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (+5%)
Umraniyespor - Vanspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↓
(2.37) |
3.53 ↑
(3.38) |
3.26 ↑
(2.72) |
7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Umraniyespor - Vanspor?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 14 and 12).
- Umraniyespor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vanspor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Umraniyespor: Yildirim O.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Umraniyespor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Umraniyespor won against Vanspor?
Umraniyespor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Umraniyespor?
Vanspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umraniyespor - Vanspor were as follows:
14.12.2025
Vanspor
-
Umraniyespor
0:1
Latest results of Umraniyespor
Latest results of Vanspor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
