Athletic Bilbao vs Deportivo Alavés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 4
  • Referee: Sanchez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
M+ LaLiga
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.07
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
124
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
81% (368/456)72% (252/349)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.720.35
Total shots
124
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
50
Shots inside the Box
70
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
278
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2017
Passes
81% (368/456)72% (252/349)
Long passes
55% (23/42)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
66% (88/133)45% (31/69)
Crosses
23% (8/35)0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.06
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
1721
Tackles
55% (11/20)58% (11/19)
Duels won
6667
Clearances
2040
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.350.72
Goals prevented
0.350.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Ruiz de Galarreta I. 🟨,
  • 30', Diaz M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Guridi J. , Suarez D. ,
  • 46', Diaz M. , Martinez T. ,
  • 46', Vicente C. , Boye L. ,
  • 49', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
  • 53', Paredes A. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Berenguer A. (Own goal),
  • 59', Guruzeta G. , Sannadi M. ,
  • 59', Ruiz de Galarreta I. , Vesga M. ,
  • 68', Sancet O. , Navarro R. ,
  • 75', Alena C. , Pacheco J. ,
  • 80', Williams I. , Izeta ,
  • 80', Berenguer A. , Serrano N. ,
  • 85', Sannadi M. 🟨,
  • 89', Diarra M. , Parada V. ,
  • 90+2', Ibanez P. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Izeta 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
59.1%
Draw
25.7%
Deportivo Alavés
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.8% 24.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1% 23.7% 14.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.58)
    3.72
    (3.97)
    6.3
    (6.43)
    4.8%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 31 - 91.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 81.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Athletic Bilbao will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletic is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Laporte A. (Coach's decision) Lekue I. (Muscle Injury) Padilla A. (Red Card) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Williams N. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Alavés: Protesoni C. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 1.3:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 1:0
    11.05.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    15.12.2024 Deportivo Alavés - Athletic Bilbao 1:1
    16.03.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 2:0
    16.01.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 2:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Madrid44008:2612
    2Ath Bilbao43016:429
    3Getafe43016:429
    4Villarreal32108:177
    5Barcelona32107:347
    6Espanyol32105:327
    7Alaves42114:317
    8Elche41306:426
    9Betis41214:405
    10Valencia31114:224
    11Rayo Vallecano31114:314
    12Sevilla41127:704
    13Osasuna31021:2-13
    14Celta Vigo40313:5-23
    15R. Oviedo41031:7-63
    16Atl. Madrid30213:4-12
    17Real Sociedad40224:6-22
    18Mallorca30122:6-41
    19Levante30033:7-40
    20Girona30031:10-90

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2