Nürnberg vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg).

2. Bundesliga - Round 18
Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.73	2.29
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
27	13
Shots on target
12	7
Big chances
6	3
Corner kicks
7	3
Passes
80% (313/391)	82% (319/390)
Yellow cards
5	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.73	2.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.19	2.22
Total shots
27	13
Shots on target
12	7
Shots off target
10	3
Blocked shots
5	3
Shots inside the box
20	10
Shots outside the box
7	3
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
2	0
Big chances
6	3
Corner kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
31	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
13	10
Passes
80% (313/391)	82% (319/390)
Long passes
56% (23/41)	51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
65% (77/118)	69% (55/80)
Crosses
50% (9/18)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.29	0.84
Throw ins
13	19
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
60% (12/20)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
57	47
Clearances
14	21
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	8
xGOT faced
2.22	2.19
Goals prevented
0.22	-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Zoma M. A. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Zimmerschied T. ⚽, Gunther L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', Keidel F. 🟨,
56', 1 - 1, Justvan J. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
59', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Malanga J. ⚽, Gunther L. (A),
67', Markhiev A. 🟨,
69', Scobel P. 🟨,
71', 2 - 2, Scobel P. ⚽,
72', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Conde A. ↑,
72', Keidel F. ↓, Gyamerah J. ↑,
79', Drexler T. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
80', Zoma M. A. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
81', Yilmaz B. 🟨,
83', Lochoshvili L. 🟨,
83', Klose M. 🟨,
84', Klose M. 🟨,
85', Stange O. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Lubach R. ↓, Baack T. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Scobel P. ⚽, Yilmaz B. (A),
90+4', Schmahl F. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
90+4', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
90+4', Gruber F. ↓, Knoche R. ↑,

Chances of winning

Nürnberg
36.9%

Draw
27.7%

Elversberg
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

25.8%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

26.1%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elversberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elversberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nürnberg - Elversberg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (3.08)	3.37 ↓ (3.67)	2.63 ↑ (2.17)	7% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nürnberg - Elversberg?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nürnberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Elversberg will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 10.6% – 60.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Nürnberg (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Nürnberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Elversberg is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Nürnberg: Justvan J. (Illness) Porstner E. (Illness) Zoma M. A. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Nürnberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against Elversberg?

Nürnberg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Nürnberg?

Elversberg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nürnberg - Elversberg were as follows:

02.08.2025 Elversberg - Nürnberg 1:0

04.05.2025 Nürnberg - Elversberg 1:3

06.12.2024 Elversberg - Nürnberg 2:1

11.05.2024 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:0

10.12.2023 Elversberg - Nürnberg 0:1

Latest results of Nürnberg

21.12.2025 Nürnberg - Hannover 2:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Schalke 04 - Nürnberg 1:0 ✺

07.12.2025 Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth 2:2 ✺

29.11.2025 Magdeburg - Nürnberg 3:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Nürnberg - Arminia Bielefeld 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Elversberg

21.12.2025 Preußen Münster - Elversberg 1:1 ✺

14.12.2025 Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2 ✺

30.11.2025 Elversberg - Darmstadt 0:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	24	14	5	5	34:21	13	47
2	Paderborn	24	14	4	6	40:27	13	46
3	Darmstadt	24	12	9	3	45:28	17	45
4	Elversberg	24	13	6	5	43:26	17	45
5	Hannover	24	13	6	5	42:30	12	45
6	Kaiserslautern	24	11	4	9	40:35	5	37
7	Hertha Berlin	24	10	7	7	34:29	5	37
8	Karlsruher SC	24	9	6	9	37:44	-7	33
9	Nurnberg	24	8	6	10	31:34	-3	30
10	Bochum	24	7	8	9	32:30	2	29
11	Dusseldorf	24	8	4	12	23:34	-11	28
12	Arminia Bielefeld	24	7	6	11	36:33	3	27
13	Preussen Munster	24	6	8	10	29:36	-7	26
14	SG Dynamo Dresden	24	6	7	11	35:41	-6	25
15	Holstein Kiel	24	6	7	11	29:35	-6	25
16	Braunschweig	24	7	4	13	27:42	-15	25
17	Magdeburg	24	7	2	15	35:47	-12	23
18	Greuther Furth	24	6	5	13	35:55	-20	23

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga