Elversberg vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg).

2. Bundesliga - Round 32
Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	RTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	RTL, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	RTL, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.73	0.97
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
5	6
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
74% (240/326)	78% (340/435)
Yellow cards
3	5
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
2.73	0.97
xG on target (xGOT)
3.28	0.95
Total shots
8	11
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
0	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	2
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
13	23
Accurate through passes
3	1
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
15	11
Passes
74% (240/326)	78% (340/435)
Long passes
40% (25/62)	39% (24/62)
Passes in final third
48% (32/67)	55% (65/119)
Crosses
50% (2/4)	28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.65	1.21
Throw ins
28	25
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
67% (6/9)	61% (11/18)
Duels won
44	45
Clearances
32	15
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	2
Goalkeeper saves
4	0
xGOT faced
0.95	3.28
Goals prevented
-0.05	-1.72

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (4 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rohr M. ⚽, Petkov L. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Gunther L. (A),
28', 3 - 0, Petkov L. ⚽, Poreba L. (A),
38', Gyamerah J. 🟨,
41', 4 - 0, Petkov L. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
43', Pherai I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Muller R. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
46', Gotze F. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
47', Scheller T. 🟨,
62', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
62', Baur M. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
64', Conde A. 🟨,
65', 4 - 1, Brackelmann C. ⚽, Batzner N. (A),
68', Marino S. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
73', Petkov L. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
73', Pherai I. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
74', Okpala K. 🟨,
78', Tigges S. 🟨,
81', Scheller T. ↓, Mohr N. ↑,
85', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
85', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Adam R. ↑,
90', Batzner N. 🟨,
90+3', 5 - 1, Adam R. ⚽, Schnellbacher L. (A),
90+5', Tigges S. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Elversberg
43.7%

Draw
25.4%

Paderborn
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

23.7%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

24.3%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Elversberg - Paderborn Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.09)	3.7 ↓ (3.98)	3.05 ↑ (3.04)	6.2% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Elversberg - Paderborn?

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Paderborn will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
Elversberg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Paderborn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Elversberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Elversberg: Conte B. (Injury) Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pinckert L. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Obermair R. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Paderborn?

Elversberg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Elversberg?

Paderborn has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Paderborn were as follows:

06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2

26.04.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:1

30.11.2024 Elversberg - Paderborn 1:3

27.04.2024 Paderborn - Elversberg 3:1

25.11.2023 Elversberg - Paderborn 4:1

Latest results of Elversberg

25.04.2026 Darmstadt - Elversberg 3:3 ✺

17.04.2026 Elversberg - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺

12.04.2026 Elversberg - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺

05.04.2026 Hannover - Elversberg 1:1 ✺

26.03.2026 Hoffenheim - Elversberg 3:5 ✺

Latest results of Paderborn

26.04.2026 Paderborn - Schalke 04 2:3 ✺

18.04.2026 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1 ✺

12.04.2026 Paderborn - Magdeburg 4:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Greuther Fürth - Paderborn 0:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden 2:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke ✔	32	20	7	5	49:28	21	67
2	Elversberg	32	17	8	7	60:36	24	59
3	Hannover	32	16	10	6	56:40	16	58
4	Paderborn	32	17	7	8	55:43	12	58
5	Darmstadt	32	13	12	7	56:42	14	51
6	Hertha Berlin	32	13	9	10	44:37	7	48
7	Kaiserslautern	32	14	4	14	49:47	2	46
8	Karlsruher SC	32	12	7	13	50:60	-10	43
9	Nurnberg	32	11	9	12	41:42	-1	42
10	Holstein Kiel	32	11	8	13	42:43	-1	41
11	Bochum	32	10	10	12	46:45	1	40
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	32	10	8	14	51:50	1	38
13	Arminia Bielefeld	32	9	9	14	47:48	-1	36
14	Magdeburg	32	11	3	18	49:56	-7	36
15	Braunschweig	32	9	7	16	34:52	-18	34
16	Dusseldorf	32	10	4	18	30:49	-19	34
17	Greuther Furth	32	9	7	16	45:66	-21	34
18	Preussen Munster	32	6	11	15	37:57	-20	29

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga