Ajax vs Groningen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
2:0
02/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 14
  • Referee: Nijhuis B. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.74
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (437/514)86% (462/538)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.991.74
xG on target (xGOT)
2.130.79
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
210
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2719
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
85% (437/514)86% (462/538)
Long passes
49% (31/63)47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
77% (85/110)69% (95/137)
Crosses
33% (2/6)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.951.19
Throw-ins
1121
Fouls
1410
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
215
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
0.792.13
Goals prevented
0.790.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Bounida R. ↓, Gloukh O. ↑,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Godts M. ⚽, Taylor K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', de Jonge T. ↓, Land T. ↑,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Bouwman A. ⚽, Gloukh O. (A),
  • 64', Bouwman A. 🟨,
  • 70', Wijndal O. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
  • 70', Taha Y. ↓, van der Werff D. ↑,
  • 70', Rente M. ↓, Mercera T. ↑,
  • 79', Gloukh O. ↓, Steur S. ↑,
  • 80', Klaassen D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 81', Schreuders J. ↓, Eggens N. ↑,
  • 81', van Bergen T. ↓, Seuntjens M. ↑,
  • 86', Weghorst W. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
  • 86', Godts M. ↓, Nash P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ajax
50.2%		Draw
25.5%		Groningen
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 20.3% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6% 19.8% 14.3%

Ajax - Groningen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.9 ↑
(1.45)		 3.75 ↓
(4.64)		 4.01 ↓
(6.45)		 4.4%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ajax - Groningen?
  • Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 29 - 63%). Groningen will win (votes: 13 - 28.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 49% – 77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 60%). Groningen (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 4.
    • Ajax has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Groningen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Groningen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Ajax has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ajax is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 44:17. (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:4. (average 2.9:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - Groningen were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Groningen - Ajax 2:2
    06.10.2024 Ajax - Groningen 3:1
    16.05.2023 Groningen - Ajax 2:3
    Latest results of Ajax
    25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    22.11.2025 Ajax - Excelsior 1:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 2:1 ✺
    05.11.2025 Ajax - Galatasaray 0:3 ✺
    01.11.2025 Ajax - Heerenveen 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Groningen
    23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Groningen 2:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Groningen - Twente 1:1 ✺
    30.10.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - Groningen 5:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Groningen 1:2 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV18161157:223549
    2Feyenoord18113444:232136
    3Ajax1896335:241133
    4Nijmegen1785443:291429
    5AZ Alkmaar1784532:28428
    6Groningen1884625:22328
    7Twente1868427:22526
    8Sparta Rotterdam1882820:31-1126
    9Heerenveen1866631:28324
    10Utrecht1765628:23523
    11Sittard1864827:31-422
    12G.A. Eagles1848628:31-320
    13Zwolle1855822:39-1720
    14Excelsior17611017:32-1519
    15Telstar1836922:30-815
    16NAC Breda18351016:26-1014
    17FC Volendam18351019:32-1314
    18Heracles18421226:46-2014

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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