Cremonese vs Fiorentina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
1:4
16/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 29
  • Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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haitiHaitiTele Haiti
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israelIsraelONE Sport 2
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
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portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
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uzbekistanUzbekistanFutbol TV, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.441.79
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
46
Passes
80% (282/352)83% (332/399)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.441.79
xG on target (xGOT)
1.052.63
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
83
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
109
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free kicks
1617
Passes
80% (282/352)83% (332/399)
Long passes
48% (29/60)45% (21/47)
Passes in final third
61% (73/120)78% (69/89)
Crosses
26% (9/35)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.89
Throw ins
2717
Fouls
1716
Tackles
69% (9/13)50% (2/4)
Duels won
4534
Clearances
2240
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.631.05
Goals prevented
-1.370.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Parisi F. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
  • 27', Bondo W. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Piccoli R. ⚽, Gosens R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Bondo W. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
  • 46', Thorsby M. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 3, Dodo ⚽, Gudmundsson A. (A),
  • 57', 1 - 3, Okereke D. ⚽, Ceccherini F. (A),
  • 62', Maleh Y. ↓, Vandeputte J. ↑,
  • 69', Floriani R. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 4, Gudmundsson A. ⚽, Piccoli R. (A),
  • 75', Mandragora R. ↓, Ndour C. ↑,
  • 76', Gudmundsson A. ↓, Harrison J. ↑,
  • 81', Ceccherini F. ↓, Terracciano F. ↑,
  • 81', Parisi F. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 81', Gosens R. ↓, Rugani D. ↑,
  • 88', Ranieri L. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Cremonese
22%		Draw
27.9%		Fiorentina
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 25.9% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8% 26.4% 47.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cremonese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
    •

    Cremonese - Fiorentina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.37 ↑
    (3.76)    		 3.42 ↓
    (3.67)    		 1.91 ↓
    (1.95)    		 4.6%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cremonese - Fiorentina?
  • Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Cremonese will win (votes: 9 - 12%). Fiorentina will win (votes: 49 - 65.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 54.5% – 76.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Cremonese (1.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Cremonese (1.82) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Fiorentina (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fiorentina will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 25 high ROI users predict this event. Cremonese (votes: 6 - 24%). Fiorentina (votes: 16 - 64%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0.
    • Cremonese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Fiorentina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cremonese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Fiorentina has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cremonese: Baschirotto F. (Muscle Injury) Moumbagna F. (Muscle Injury) Pezzella G. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Fortini N. (Back Injury) Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Lezzerini L. (Muscle Injury) Solomon M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.5:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cremonese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cremonese - Fiorentina were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Fiorentina - Cremonese 1:0
    05.04.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    12.03.2023 Cremonese - Fiorentina 0:2
    Latest results of Cremonese
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Cremonese - Milan 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Roma - Cremonese 3:0 ✺
    15.02.2026 Cremonese - Genoa 0:0 ✺
    09.02.2026 Atalanta - Cremonese 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    12.03.2026 Fiorentina - Raków Częstochowa 2:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0 ✺
    02.03.2026 Udinese - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺
    26.02.2026 Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:4 ✺
    23.02.2026 Fiorentina - Pisa 1:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter30223566:244269
    2AC Milan30189347:232463
    3Napoli30195646:301662
    4Como30169553:223157
    5Juventus30159652:292354
    6AS Roma301731040:231754
    7Atalanta301311641:271450
    8Lazio301110931:28343
    9Bologna301261238:36242
    10Sassuolo301161336:40-439
    11Udinese301161335:42-739
    12Parma308101221:38-1734
    13Genoa30891336:42-633
    14Torino30961534:53-1933
    15Cagliari30791431:42-1130
    16Fiorentina306111335:44-929
    17Cremonese30691525:44-1927
    18Lecce30761721:40-1927
    19Verona30391822:52-3018
    20Pisa302121623:54-3118

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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