Fiorentina vs Parma – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Result
0:0
08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 28
  • Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
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colombiaColombiaESPN
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denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoART Sport 1
kuwaitKuwaitShasha
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
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tunisiaTunisiaDiwan Sport
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360, VTVcab
worldWorldStarzplay Sports app

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.290.25
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
10
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
71
Passes
88% (445/503)81% (328/403)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
1.290.25
xG on target (xGOT)
0.210.00
Total shots
128
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
82
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
00
Corner kicks
71
Touches in opposition box
348
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1412
Passes
88% (445/503)81% (328/403)
Long passes
55% (18/33)49% (29/59)
Passes in final third
87% (132/151)66% (75/113)
Crosses
17% (6/36)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.39
Throw ins
1014
Fouls
1214
Tackles
46% (6/13)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4750
Clearances
1929
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
0.000.21
Goals prevented
0.000.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Nicolussi Caviglia H. ↓, Ordonez C. ↑,
  • 61', Mandragora R. 🟨,
  • 64', Mandragora R. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
  • 72', Pellegrino M. ↓, Elphege N. ↑,
  • 72', Strefezza G. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
  • 81', Harrison J. ↓, Fazzini J. ↑,
  • 82', Sorensen O. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
  • 86', Ndour C. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
  • 86', Pongracic M. ↓, Comuzzo P. ↑,
  • 90', Dodo 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fiorentina
54.5%		Draw
26.3%		Parma
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.9% 25.9% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 25% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fiorentina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Fiorentina - Parma Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.76 ↑
    (1.7)    		 3.63 ↓
    (3.67)    		 4.95 ↓
    (5.2)    		 4.6%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Fiorentina - Parma?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Parma will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fiorentina: 38.7% – 76.7%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Fiorentina (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Parma (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fiorentina (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Parma (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 1.
    • In recent matches, Fiorentina has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Parma is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Fiorentina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Fiorentina is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Fiorentina: Lamptey T. (Knee Injury) Lezzerini L. (Muscle Injury) Parisi F. (Yellow Cards) Solomon M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Parma: Almqvist P. (Thigh Injury) Bernabe A. (Muscle Injury) Britschgi S. (Muscle Injury) Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Valenti L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Fiorentina: Kean M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 4 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fiorentina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fiorentina - Parma were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Parma - Fiorentina 1:0
    13.04.2025 Fiorentina - Parma 0:0
    17.08.2024 Parma - Fiorentina 1:1
    06.12.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 3:2
    20.07.2023 Fiorentina - Parma 1:1
    Latest results of Fiorentina
    02.03.2026 Udinese - Fiorentina 3:0 ✺
    26.02.2026 Fiorentina - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:4 ✺
    23.02.2026 Fiorentina - Pisa 1:0 ✺
    19.02.2026 Jagiellonia Białystok - Fiorentina 0:3 ✺
    14.02.2026 Como - Fiorentina 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Parma
    27.02.2026 Parma - Cagliari 1:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Milan - Parma 0:1 ✺
    15.02.2026 Parma - Verona 2:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Bologna - Parma 0:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Parma - Juventus 1:4 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter ✔ 34254580:314979
    2Napoli34216752:331969
    3AC Milan341910548:272167
    4Juventus341810657:292864
    5Como341710759:283161
    6AS Roma341941148:291961
    7Atalanta341412847:321554
    8Lazio3412121037:33448
    9Bologna341461442:41148
    10Sassuolo341371441:44-346
    11Udinese341281441:46-544
    12Parma3410121225:40-1542
    13Torino341181539:56-1741
    14Genoa341091540:48-839
    15Fiorentina348131338:45-737
    16Cagliari34991636:49-1336
    17Lecce34781922:46-2429
    18Cremonese346101826:51-2528
    19Verona343102123:56-3319
    20Pisa342122024:61-3718

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
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