Ascoli vs Ternana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
09/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 21
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
72
Shots on target
21
Corner kicks
72
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
72
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
51
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Chakir M. A. ,
  • 66', Dubickas E. , Leonardi S. ,
  • 66', Pettinari S. , Ferrante A. ,
  • 73', Ferrante A. 🟨,
  • 75', Alagna M. 🟨,
  • 77', Proietti M. , McJannet E. ,
  • 77', Bianay Balcot C. , Durmush M. ,
  • 83', Rizzo Pinna A. , Ndoj E. ,
  • 83', Chakir M. A. , Gori G. ,
  • 83', Silipo A. , Oviszach E. ,
  • 90+2', Romeo F. , Orellana M. ,
  • 90+3', D'Uffizi S. , Palazzino F. ,
  • 90+6', Milanese T. , Bando A. ,

Chances of winning


Ascoli
39.3%
Draw
32.2%
Ternana
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 29.2% 24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 30.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.
  • Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Ascoli - Ternana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (1.99)
    2.82
    (3.13)
    3.19
    (3.72)
    10%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ascoli - Ternana?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ternana will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ascoli: 13.8%69.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ternana will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 3.
    • Ascoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ternana is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ascoli could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Ternana were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Ternana - Ascoli 0:2
    23.02.2025 Ascoli - Ternana 0:3
    13.10.2024 Ternana - Ascoli 3:1
    27.04.2024 Ternana - Ascoli 0:1
    26.09.2023 Ascoli - Ternana 2:0
    Latest results of Ascoli
    03.01.2026 Pianese - Ascoli 4:2
    21.12.2025 Ascoli - Campobasso 0:0
    08.12.2025 Ascoli - Forlì 3:0
    01.12.2025 Vis Pesaro - Ascoli 1:1
    Latest results of Ternana
    04.01.2026 Ternana - Livorno 2:1
    21.12.2025 Pianese - Ternana 0:0
    14.12.2025 Ternana - Bra 2:0
    10.12.2025 Ternana - Brescia 4:1
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation