Ascoli vs Vis Pesaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
52
Shots on target
52
Corner kicks
90
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
52
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
00
Corner kicks
90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Lari N. ,
  • 19', Paganini L. 🟨,
  • 22', Guiebre A. 🟨,
  • 42', Pozzi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 66', Lari N. , Jallow S. ,
  • 68', Gori G. , Corazza S. ,
  • 68', Rizzo Pinna A. , Chakir M. A. ,
  • 75', Nicastro F. , Barranco G. ,
  • 75', Di Paola M. , Durmush M. ,
  • 81', Guiebre A. , Galuppini F. ,
  • 81', Corradini G. , Milanese T. ,
  • 90', Silipo A. , Oviszach E. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Chakir M. A. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Milanese T. ,
  • 90+8', Milanese T. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Machin J. , Mariani E. ,

Chances of winning


Ascoli
66.4%
Draw
21.5%
Vis Pesaro
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.2% 21.8% 12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6% 20.7% 12.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Ascoli - Vis Pesaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.41)
    4.29
    (4.21)
    7.62
    (7.11)
    8.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
    • Ascoli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Vis Pesaro is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Vis Pesaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ascoli is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Ascoli will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Vis Pesaro were as follows:
    01.12.2025 Vis Pesaro - Ascoli 1:1
    30.03.2025 Ascoli - Vis Pesaro 0:0
    15.11.2024 Vis Pesaro - Ascoli 1:1
    Latest results of Ascoli
    30.03.2026 Arezzo - Ascoli 1:2
    15.03.2026 Gubbio - Ascoli 1:3
    09.03.2026 Ascoli - Ravenna 2:0
    04.03.2026 Sambenedettese - Ascoli 0:1
    28.02.2026 Ascoli - Carpi 3:0
    Latest results of Vis Pesaro
    29.03.2026 Vis Pesaro - Perugia 0:1
    14.03.2026 Vis Pesaro - Ternana 1:0
    08.03.2026 Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro 1:3
    04.03.2026 Vis Pesaro - Bra 2:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation