Result
3:1
31/08/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (256/325) | 86% (401/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.17 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (256/325) | 86% (401/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (33/72) | 51% (18/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (35/60) | 71% (92/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 3.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', Mendy A. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Doucoure F. ⚽, Soumare I. (A),
- 41', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Peprah K. ⚽, Boudaoui H. (A),
- 55', Bah J. 🟨,
- 55', Soumare I. 🟨,
- 60', Abdul Samed S. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 60', Jansson I. ↓, Clauss J. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Ndiaye R. ⚽,
- 66', Ndiaye R. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 67', Zouaoui Y. ↓, Delaine T. ↑,
- 67', Kechta Y. ↓, Mambimbi F. ↑,
- 67', Boga J. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
- 67', Mendy A. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 82', Louchet T. ↓, Sanson M. ↑,
- 82', Doucoure F. ↓, Namli Y. ↑,
- 85', Samatta A. ↓, Ebonog S. ↑,
- 90+5', 3 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Diaw M. (A),
- 90+7', Kevin 🟨,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
28.9% | Draw
27.5% | Nice
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+5%)
Le Havre - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↓
(3.8) |
3.45 ↓
(3.75) |
2.2 ↑
(1.8) |
4.9%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Nice?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Nice will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 52.1% – 90.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Le Havre (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Nice (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Le Havre is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Le Havre has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Nice has had a series of home games.
- Nice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Abdi A.
(Hernia)
Bombito M.
(Injury)
Cho M.
(Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Pizarro D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nice: Clauss J.
(Inactive)
Dante
(Knee Injury)
Sanson M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Nice?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Le Havre?
Nice has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Nice were as follows:
16.02.2025
Le Havre
-
Nice
1:3
07.12.2024
Nice
-
Le Havre
2:1
10.05.2024
Nice
-
Le Havre
1:0
16.12.2023
Le Havre
-
Nice
3:1
Latest results of Le Havre
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
