Result
1:3
20/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 18
- Referee: Lee L. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 8 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/324) | 83% (366/440) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (254/324) | 83% (366/440) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (14/38) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (58/89) | 70% (75/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 11% (2/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.65 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Barwick-Grey E. 🟨,
- 41', Henry B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 52', 0 - 1, Henry B. ⚽, McNamara H. (A),
- 56', Farrow M. ↓, Fuller T. ↑,
- 56', Levin T. ↓, Familton E. ↑,
- 56', Martin A. ↓, Hughes B. ↑,
- 62', King 🟨,
- 64', McMahon S. ↓, Davidson L. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Stott R. ⚽, Otto T. (A),
- 74', 0 - 3, Keane A. ⚽, Henry B. (A),
- 76', McNamara H. ↓, Uchendu C. ↑,
- 77', Jackson D. 🟨,
- 77', 1 - 3, Gomez I. ⚽, Barwick-Grey E. (A),
- 87', Davidson L. 🟨,
- 88', Henry B. ↓, Apostolakis A. ↑,
- 89', Keane A. ↓, Butrus D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Central Coast Mariners
20.1% | Draw
23.4% | Melbourne City
56.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Central Coast Mariners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Melbourne City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.59 ↓
(4.97) |
3.93 ↓
(3.97) |
1.63 ↑
(1.54) |
8.5%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Central Coast will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Melbourne City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne City is the team to beat.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Central Coast won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Central Coast won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne City?
Central Coast Mariners has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Central Coast Mariners?
Melbourne City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Central Coast Mariners - Melbourne City were as follows:
07.11.2025
Melbourne City
-
Central Coast Mariners
4:0
11.05.2025
Melbourne City
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:1
03.05.2025
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne City
2:2
31.12.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne City
0:0
16.11.2024
Melbourne City
-
Central Coast Mariners
2:2
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Latest results of Melbourne City
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
