Result
09/05/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Melbourne City
45.5% | Draw
26.3% | Melbourne Victory
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne City than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(1.99) |
3.42 ↑
(3.38) |
3.2 ↓
(3.22) |
11.1%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 3.
- Melbourne City is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Melbourne Victory has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melbourne City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Melbourne City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:30. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne City won against Melbourne Victory?
Melbourne City has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Melbourne City?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
02.05.2026
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
0:1
15.02.2026
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
0:0
23.12.2025
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
2:1
01.02.2025
Melbourne City
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
08.11.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Melbourne City
2:3
Latest results of Melbourne City
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Canberra W (3) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Bye | |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar W (4) | Adelaide W (5) | 3 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Melbourne City W (1) | Melbourne Victory W (6) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix W (2) | Brisbane Roar W (4) | 1 : 2 |
