Result
2:2
02/05/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Relegation Group - Round 35
- Referee: Cibelli L. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.85 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (224/311) | 80% (255/320) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (224/311) | 80% (255/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 53% (27/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (45/81) | 75% (86/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 100% (4/4) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 1', Kasami P. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Perea J. ⚽, Keny P. P. (A),
- 25', 1 - 1, Kasami P. ⚽, Rohner F. (A),
- 30', Palacio N. 🟨,
- 32', Cueni S. 🟨,
- 37', Walker S. 🟨,
- 39', Perea J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Smith R. ↓, Diaby S. ↑,
- 61', Walker S. ↓, Sauter I. ↑,
- 61', Di Giusto N. ↓, Krasniqi B. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Keny P. P. (Penalty Awarded),
- 70', Rohner F. ↓, Ulrich D. ↑,
- 70', Cueni S. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 70', Burkart N. ↓, Schneider R. ↑,
- 70', Perea J. ↓, Emmanuel U. ↑,
- 70', Hodza S. ↓, Comenencia L. ↑,
- 78', Kasami P. ↓, Maksutaj L. ↑,
- 86', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Vujevic D. ↑,
- 90', Hunziker A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Huber S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Hunziker A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Winterthur 36.6% | Draw 25.6% | Zürich 37.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Winterthur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Winterthur's performance.Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zürich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Winterthur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zürich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Winterthur - Zürich Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↓ (2.97) |
3.68 ↓ (3.7) |
2.45 ↑ (2.12) |
6.2% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Zürich?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Winterthur will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Zürich will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Kryeziu M.
(Injury)
Stillhart B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Zürich: Kablan C.
(Injury)
Segura J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:37. (average 1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Zürich?
Winterthur has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Winterthur?
Zürich has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Zürich were as follows:
11.02.2026
Zürich
-
Winterthur
3:0
13.12.2025
Zürich
-
Winterthur
2:2
30.08.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
1:3
13.05.2025
Zürich
-
Winterthur
4:1
05.04.2025
Winterthur
-
Zürich
0:0
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 35 | 24 | 2 | 9 | 76:41 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 66:44 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Lugano | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 52:38 | 14 | 63 |
| 4 | Sion | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 56:35 | 21 | 58 |
| 5 | Basel | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 54:48 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 66:63 | 3 | 48 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )