Winterthur vs Zürich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Super League Winterthur - Zürich
Result
1:3
30/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 5
  • Referee: Kanagasingam A. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.39
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
510
Passes
75% (283/379)79% (330/419)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.711.78
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
511
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
510
Touches in opposition box
1917
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
97
Passes
75% (283/379)79% (330/419)
Long passes
45% (31/69)51% (35/68)
Passes in final third
55% (53/97)64% (82/128)
Crosses
53% (8/15)13% (3/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.63
Throw-ins
1625
Fouls
79
Tackles
62% (16/26)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5945
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
28
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.780.71
Goals prevented
-1.22-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Gomez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 56', Tramoni L. 🟨,
  • 60', Rodic M. , Ligue J. ,
  • 60', Tramoni L. , Phaeton M. ,
  • 65', Cueni S. 🟨,
  • 65', Diaby S. , Ulrich D. ,
  • 65', Beyer B. , Maluvunu E. ,
  • 71', Krasniqi B. , Reverson D. ,
  • 72', 0 - 1, Phaeton M. , Emmanuel U. (A),
  • 75', Cueni S. , Buess R. ,
  • 75', Golliard T. , Chiappetta C. ,
  • 80', 0 - 2, Zuber S. ,
  • 82', Citherlet T. , Hunziker A. ,
  • 85', Schneider R. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Gomis C. , Schneider R. (A),
  • 89', Gomis C. 🟨,
  • 89', Phaeton M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Palacio N. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Emmanuel U. , Kamberi L. ,
  • 90+4', Tsawa C. , Sauter I. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Phaeton M. ,

Chances of winning


Winterthur
29.9%
Draw
26.5%
Zürich
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 26.7% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 27.1% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winterthur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Zürich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winterthur than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Winterthur - Zürich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.77)
    3.54
    (3.52)
    2.16
    (2.39)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Winterthur - Zürich?
  • Users Predictions: Zürich will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Winterthur: Burkart N. (Inactive) Luthi L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Zürich: Keny P. P. (Red Card) Ligue J. (Muscle Injury) Perea J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Reichmuth M. (Inactive) Vujevic D. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Zürich were as follows:
    13.05.2025 Zürich - Winterthur 4:1
    05.04.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 0:0
    06.02.2025 Winterthur - Zürich 0:2
    28.07.2024 Zürich - Winterthur 4:2
    12.05.2024 Winterthur - Zürich 1:3
    Latest results of Winterthur
    24.08.2025 Grasshoppers - Winterthur 2:2
    09.08.2025 St. Gallen - Winterthur 5:0
    02.08.2025 Winterthur - Young Boys 1:1
    16.07.2025 Winterthur - Dietikon 3:1
    Latest results of Zürich
    23.08.2025 Zürich - Thun 0:4
    10.08.2025 Lausanne-Sport - Zürich 1:2
    03.08.2025 Luzern - Zürich 1:1
    25.07.2025 Zürich - Sion 2:3
    Swiss Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St. Gallen650114:41015
    2Thun641112:7513
    3Basel640212:8412
    4Zurich631210:11-110
    5Young Boys52218:718
    6Luzern52218:718
    7Sion42117:347
    8Grasshoppers50327:9-23
    9Lausanne41036:8-23
    10Lugano51045:11-63
    11Servette50236:12-62
    12Winterthur50236:14-82

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