Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 33
- Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/399) | 82% (363/441) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (315/399) | 82% (363/441) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (21/58) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (54/89) | 68% (84/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
- 44', Mai L. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Kelvin D. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽, Koutsias G. (A),
- 66', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
- 68', Walker S. 🟨,
- 80', Koutsias G. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
- 80', Steffen R. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
- 80', Comenencia L. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 80', Palacio N. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
- 84', Hack A. ↓, Vujevic D. ↑,
- 84', Walker S. ↓, Emmanuel U. ↑,
- 89', Cimignani Y. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
- 90', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zürich
26.1% | Draw
24.3% | Lugano
49.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zürich - Lugano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↑
(3.23) |
3.87 ↑
(3.65) |
1.91 ↓
(2.03) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Zürich - Lugano?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Zürich is Super League (Relegation Group )
- Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 1.
- Zürich is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lugano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lugano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lugano: Behrens K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cassano C.
(Knee Injury)
Papadopoulos A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Zürich: Hodza S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Lugano: Joao Carbone
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Lugano?
Zürich has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugano won against Zürich?
Lugano has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Lugano were as follows:
17.12.2025
Zürich
-
Lugano
0:1
18.10.2025
Lugano
-
Zürich
1:0
02.03.2025
Lugano
-
Zürich
0:3
24.11.2024
Lugano
-
Zürich
4:1
06.10.2024
Zürich
-
Lugano
1:1
Swiss Super League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 34 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 75:38 | 37 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 66:41 | 25 | 63 |
| 3 | Lugano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 60 |
| 4 | Sion | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Basel | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:47 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 66:62 | 4 | 48 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
