Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga
Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanSolh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
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australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
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cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
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germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainDAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 5, S Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.87
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
86% (420/488)86% (396/460)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.361.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.492.87
Total shots
613
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
410
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1832
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
86% (420/488)86% (396/460)
Long passes
56% (28/50)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
78% (73/93)72% (75/104)
Crosses
11% (2/19)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.83
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1213
Tackles
55% (12/22)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5057
Clearances
1020
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
2.871.49
Goals prevented
0.870.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', Parada V. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 67', Ibanez P. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
  • 67', Calebe ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
  • 67', Rebbach A. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Vicente C. ⚽, Blanco A. (A),
  • 76', 1 - 2, Rodrygo ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
  • 78', Guler A. ↓, Garcia G. ↑,
  • 78', Valdepenas V. ↓, Huijsen D. ↑,
  • 80', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 83', Rodrygo ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 83', Suarez D. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
  • 89', Parada V. ↓, Yusi ↑,
  • 89', Vinicius Junior ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
  • 89', Rebbach A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Guevara A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Deportivo Alavés
16.7%		Draw
23.1%		Real Madrid
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.3% 21.7% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7% 20.9% 65.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.69 ↓
    (6.21)    		 4.14 ↓
    (4.38)    		 1.59 ↑
    (1.51)    		 4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 7.4%). Real will win (votes: 70 - 86.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 78.9% – 93.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - Real (1.99) (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Real (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Real (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (35 of 39 users predict this - 89.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 46 high ROI users predict this event. Alavés (votes: 5 - 10.9%). Real (votes: 41 - 89.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Alexander-Arnold T. (Thigh Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Carreras A. (Red Card) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Endrick (Red Card) Garcia F. (Red Card) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Alavés: Guridi J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 10:42. (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:18. (average 0.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1
    24.09.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 3:2
    14.05.2024 Real Madrid - Deportivo Alavés 5:0
    21.12.2023 Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid 0:1
    Latest results of Deportivo Alavés
    06.12.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad 1:0 ✺
    02.12.2025 Portugalete - Deportivo Alavés 0:3
    29.11.2025 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés 3:1 ✺
    22.11.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    10.12.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    07.12.2025 Real Madrid - Celta de Vigo 0:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺
    30.11.2025 Girona - Real Madrid 1:1 ✺
    26.11.2025 Olympiacos Piraeus - Real Madrid 3:4 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona28231477:284970
    2Real Madrid28213460:243666
    3Atl. Madrid28176547:252257
    4Villarreal28174751:331855
    5Betis281111643:35844
    6Celta Vigo281011738:31741
    7Real Sociedad281081043:42138
    8Espanyol281071135:42-737
    9Getafe281051323:30-735
    10Ath Bilbao281051330:40-1035
    11Osasuna28971233:35-234
    12Girona288101031:43-1234
    13Rayo Vallecano287111028:34-632
    14Valencia28881230:42-1232
    15Sevilla28871337:47-1031
    16Mallorca28771433:45-1228
    17Alaves28771426:38-1228
    18Elche285111236:45-926
    19Levante28581530:46-1623
    20Oviedo28491518:44-2621

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

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