Providence Bruins vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Amica Mutual Pavilion (Providence, RI).

AHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
36	34
Shooting PCT
11.11% (4/36)	8.82% (3/34)
Goalkeeper Saves
31	32
Saves PCT
91.18% (31/34)	88.89% (32/36)
Penalties
4	3
PIM
8	6
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)	0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)	66.67% (2/3)
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:47, 1 - 0, Lysell F. (G), Farinacci J. (A),
14:38, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Groulx B. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
05:11, 1 - 2, Barbolini M. (G), Lettieri V. (A),
13:13, 2 - 2, Merkulov G. (G), Locmelis D. (A), Poitras M. (A2)
19:30, 3 - 2, Poitras M. (G), Brown P. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
16:11, 3 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Barbolini M. (A), Rifai M. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:41, 4 - 3, Harris J. (G), Merkulov G. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)

Chances of winning

Providence Bruins
51.7%

Draw
22.4%

Toronto Marlies
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

24%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

25.2%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Providence Bruins's performance.

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Providence Bruins that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto Marlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.96)	4.08 ↑ (3.78)	3.57 ↑ (3.08)	8.3% (10%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

What is the prediction for Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Providence (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
Providence is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Toronto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Providence may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Providence has had a series of home games.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
Providence could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 55:45. (average 3.7:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 3.6:2.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Providence Bruins won against Toronto Marlies?

Providence Bruins has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Providence Bruins?

Toronto Marlies has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies were as follows:

26.11.2025 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 1:5

12.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 4:2

07.03.2025 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 5:2

20.12.2023 Toronto Marlies - Providence Bruins 7:3

15.12.2023 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 2:8

Latest results of Providence Bruins

24.01.2026 Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins 3:4 ✺

23.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Belleville Senators 2:1 ✺

18.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters 6:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Cleveland Monsters 5:0 ✺

14.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Toronto Marlies

24.01.2026 Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies 1:4 ✺

23.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 4:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 4:5 ✺

16.01.2026 Iowa Wild - Toronto Marlies 2:3 ✺

10.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 6:3 ✺

AHL Table

2025/26

Atlantic Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Providence Bruins	54	31	11	1	11	177:114	85
2	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton	57	31	5	7	14	189:150	79
3	Charlotte Checkers	56	26	7	5	18	188:157	71
4	Hershey Bears	56	20	6	8	22	160:172	60
5	Bridgeport Islanders	56	19	4	8	25	165:174	54
6	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	55	16	8	6	25	162:183	54
7	Springfield Thunderbirds	56	19	3	7	27	151:196	51
8	Hartford Wolf Pack	55	18	4	6	27	149:185	50

Central Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Grand Rapids Griffins	56	36	7	4	9	196:111	90
2	Chicago Wolves	52	21	7	11	13	166:160	67
3	Manitoba Moose	50	21	4	6	19	131:143	56
4	Texas Stars	53	18	8	4	23	155:165	56
5	Milwaukee Admirals	54	14	8	7	25	152:165	51
6	Rockford IceHogs	56	15	5	4	32	152:194	44
7	Iowa Wild	54	13	6	5	30	126:170	43

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ontario Reign	55	28	9	2	16	188:150	76
2	Colorado Eagles	55	26	7	8	14	178:139	74
3	San Jose Barracuda	54	25	9	4	16	188:164	72
4	Bakersfield Condors	57	22	8	10	17	192:178	70
5	Coachella Valley Firebirds	54	20	9	5	20	180:169	63
6	San Diego Gulls	55	20	5	12	18	164:161	62
7	Henderson Silver Knights	52	21	3	10	18	173:166	58
8	Tucson Roadrunners	55	13	12	8	22	171:182	58
9	Calgary Wranglers	56	10	9	14	23	151:204	52
10	Abbotsford Canucks	57	13	8	6	30	132:191	48

North Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Laval Rocket	59	26	10	5	18	192:157	77
2	Syracuse Crunch	55	31	3	4	17	180:135	72
3	Cleveland Monsters	56	17	13	7	19	164:167	67
4	Toronto Marlies	55	20	7	9	19	176:179	63
5	Rochester Americans	54	19	5	9	21	166:168	57
6	Belleville Senators	58	16	6	8	28	181:214	52
7	Utica Comets	55	17	3	9	26	143:175	49

Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )