Toronto Marlies vs Springfield Thunderbirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON).

AHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
33	30
Shooting PCT
15.15% (5/33)	3.33% (1/30)
Goalkeeper Saves
29	28
Saves PCT
96.67% (29/30)	87.5% (28/32)
Penalties
8	7
PIM
33	20
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
14.29% (1/7)	0% (0/8)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (8/8)	85.71% (6/7)
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (3 - 0)
01:12, 1 - 0, Lettieri V. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
13:25, 2 - 0, Shaw L. (G), Groulx B. (A), Mermis D. (A2)
14:47, 3 - 0, Pezzetta M. (G), Johnson R. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
19:51, 3 - 1, Rosen C. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:45, 4 - 1, Haymes L. (G), Quillan J. (A),
15:41, 5 - 1, Groulx B. (G),

Chances of winning

Toronto Marlies
49.8%

Draw
21.2%

Springfield Thunderbirds
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

21.9%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.96)	4.35 ↑ (4.24)	3.19 ↑ (3.02)	8.6% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
Toronto is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Springfield has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Springfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
Toronto could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:24. (average 3.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:10. (average 4.2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Springfield Thunderbirds?

Toronto Marlies has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Springfield Thunderbirds won against Toronto Marlies?

Springfield Thunderbirds has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds were as follows:

23.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 4:3

03.04.2024 Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds 6:3

09.03.2024 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 5:1

Latest results of Toronto Marlies

03.02.2026 Cleveland Monsters - Toronto Marlies 3:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Laval Rocket 2:3 ✺

25.01.2026 Providence Bruins - Toronto Marlies 4:3 ✺

24.01.2026 Hartford Wolf Pack - Toronto Marlies 1:4 ✺

23.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Toronto Marlies 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Springfield Thunderbirds

06.02.2026 Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds 4:0 ✺

04.02.2026 Syracuse Crunch - Springfield Thunderbirds 4:3 ✺

01.02.2026 Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds 4:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Hartford Wolf Pack 4:1 ✺

30.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 2:1 ✺

AHL Table

Main

Atlantic Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Providence Bruins ✔	72	41	13	2	16	239:162	110
2	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔	72	40	6	9	17	243:186	101
3	Charlotte Checkers ✔	71	34	9	5	23	234:186	91
4	Bridgeport Islanders	72	27	7	8	30	219:222	76
5	Springfield Thunderbirds	72	28	4	8	32	207:240	72
6	Hershey Bears	71	25	6	9	31	205:226	71
7	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	71	21	10	6	34	209:243	68
8	Hartford Wolf Pack	72	22	4	8	38	190:253	60

Central Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Grand Rapids Griffins ✔	71	43	8	5	15	251:153	107
2	Chicago Wolves ✔	71	26	9	15	21	220:217	85
3	Texas Stars ✔	72	28	9	6	29	222:228	80
4	Manitoba Moose ✔	72	29	6	8	29	185:216	78
5	Milwaukee Admirals ✔	71	19	13	7	32	205:216	71
6	Iowa Wild	72	20	7	9	36	179:226	63
7	Rockford IceHogs	72	20	8	5	39	196:245	61

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ontario Reign ✔	72	36	11	5	20	237:187	99
2	Colorado Eagles ✔	72	32	9	11	20	237:198	93
3	Henderson Silver Knights ✔	72	34	5	12	21	263:225	90
4	Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔	71	28	13	6	24	233:214	88
5	Bakersfield Condors ✔	72	29	8	12	23	244:236	86
6	San Jose Barracuda ✔	72	30	10	4	28	243:230	84
7	San Diego Gulls ✔	72	27	6	12	27	224:228	78
8	Tucson Roadrunners	72	21	13	10	28	230:239	78
9	Abbotsford Canucks	71	19	8	7	37	169:232	61
10	Calgary Wranglers	72	14	9	15	34	203:269	61

North Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Laval Rocket ✔	71	29	12	8	22	231:196	90
2	Syracuse Crunch ✔	72	38	3	7	24	237:189	89
3	Cleveland Monsters ✔	71	23	13	9	26	211:223	81
4	Toronto Marlies ✔	71	27	8	10	26	225:226	80
5	Utica Comets	72	26	4	11	31	199:220	71
6	Rochester Americans	71	22	9	9	31	210:230	71
7	Belleville Senators	72	21	7	9	35	223:262	65

Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )